Kris Dunn's blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 30% over rate across his last 10 games with a brutal -42.7% ROI on overs. The Jazz guard is averaging 0.6 blocks against a 0.5 line, but variance has heavily favored unders. Strong lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Kris Dunn's blocks production tells a story of defensive positioning versus opportunity. While his 0.6 average suggests he's slightly exceeding the 0.5 line, the 70% under rate reveals consistent underperformance relative to market expectations. The current four-game under streak isn't just variance—it reflects Dunn's role limitations within Utah's defensive scheme. As a backup guard logging inconsistent minutes, Dunn lacks the rim protection opportunities that generate blocks for perimeter players. His defensive value comes through steals and pressure rather than shot-blocking, making the blocks prop inherently volatile. The -42.7% ROI on overs indicates the market has been slow to adjust to this reality. Utah's pace and style of play further limit Dunn's block opportunities, as they tend to funnel opponents toward their interior defenders rather than creating chaos that generates blocks for guards. The 30% over rate across 10 games represents a significant sample showing market inefficiency. Without split data to identify favorable matchups, the trend appears sustainable based on role and usage patterns. Dunn's defensive impact manifests in ways that don't translate to blocks, making this prop consistently overvalued by oddsmakers who may be pricing in his overall defensive reputation rather than his specific shot-blocking production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Kris Dunn's 70% under rate over 10 games reflects genuine role limitations rather than temporary variance. The market appears to overvalue his blocks potential based on defensive reputation while ignoring his limited rim protection opportunities as a backup guard. Target this prop when the line stays at 0.5, as his average barely exceeds it despite favorable variance. Main risk is a blowout game where garbage time creates extra possessions and opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Blocks Prop Lines
Compare Kris Dunn props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Kris Dunn has gone 3-7-0 on his blocks over/under in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. This represents a strong under trend with significant market value for contrarian bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Kris Dunn's blocks prop. The 70% under rate across 10 games reflects his limited shot-blocking opportunities as a backup guard, not temporary variance. Market appears to overvalue his defensive reputation.
What's Kris Dunn's average Blocks last 10 games?
Kris Dunn is averaging 0.6 blocks over his last 10 games against a typical line of 0.5. While he's slightly exceeding the line numerically, the 70% under rate shows consistent underperformance relative to expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Dunn's blocks under when the line is 0.5 or higher and he's playing his typical backup role. Avoid in potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate opportunities and possessions.