Klay Thompson's blocks prop with one day rest presents a clear under opportunity, hitting just 38.5% overs across 26 games with a -0.1 average differential. The under delivers +17.5% ROI while overs hemorrhage -26.6%, making this a high-conviction fade spot.
Expert Analysis
Thompson's blocks production with one day rest reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. The 0.38 average against a typical 0.5 line suggests oddsmakers consistently overvalue his shot-blocking ability in this rest scenario. This isn't surprising given Thompson's role as a perimeter-focused shooting guard who rarely ventures into paint traffic where blocks naturally occur. The 38.5% over rate indicates this isn't random variance but a systematic pricing inefficiency. Thompson's defensive positioning prioritizes contesting three-point attempts and fighting through screens rather than help defense that generates blocks. With one day rest, his energy allocation remains focused on his primary offensive responsibilities, leaving little incentive to chase risky block attempts. The longest under streak of six games demonstrates how consistently Thompson fails to exceed modest blocking expectations. The market appears anchored to his reputation as a two-way player without properly adjusting for his specific defensive role and the rarity of blocks for perimeter defenders. This creates recurring value on the under, particularly when the line sits at 0.5 or higher.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Thompson's 38.5% over rate with one day rest creates a systematic edge that the market hasn't corrected. Target this when the line is 0.5 or higher, as his 0.38 average provides comfortable cushion. The main risk is a blowout game where garbage time could produce unusual defensive activity, but his role-specific limitations make the under the superior long-term play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Klay Thompson's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Klay Thompson's blocks prop with one day rest shows a 10-16-0 over/under record (38.5% overs) across 26 games from November 2023 to April 2024, indicating strong under performance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Klay Thompson Blocks 1 day rest?
Bet the under on Thompson's blocks with one day rest. The 38.5% over rate and +17.5% under ROI create clear value, especially when the line is 0.5 or higher.
What's Klay Thompson's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Thompson averages 0.38 blocks with one day rest compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.1 differential that consistently favors under bettors seeking value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson's blocks under when he has one day rest and the line is 0.5+. Avoid in potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate defensive stats unexpectedly.