Klay Thompson's blocks prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just a 30% over rate across his last 10 games. Thompson averages 0.4 blocks against a typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value on the under side with strong +33.6% ROI returns.
Expert Analysis
Thompson's blocks production reflects his evolved defensive role in Golden State's system, where he primarily focuses on perimeter defense rather than help-side rim protection. The 0.4 blocks average represents a natural ceiling for a shooting guard who rarely ventures into the paint for defensive plays. His 3-7-0 under record isn't coincidental—it's systematic. Thompson's defensive positioning prioritizes contesting three-point attempts and staying attached to elite shooters, limiting opportunities for blocks that typically come from help defense or switching onto drivers. The recent 2-game over streak appears more like statistical noise than a meaningful shift, especially considering it followed a dominant 7-game under run. Thompson's role as Golden State's primary wing defender keeps him away from the rim where blocks naturally occur. The Warriors' defensive scheme emphasizes switching and staying home on shooters rather than aggressive help defense, further constraining Thompson's block opportunities. His advanced age and focus on preserving energy for offensive contributions also suggests he's unlikely to suddenly become more aggressive pursuing blocks. The -0.1 differential between his average and the standard line creates consistent mathematical edge for under bettors, supported by the strong +33.6% ROI on that side.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Thompson's defensive role and positioning create a structural advantage for under bettors, with the 0.4 average consistently falling short of standard 0.5 lines. Target this prop when Thompson faces perimeter-heavy opponents who won't force help defense situations. Main risk is variance in small samples and potential blowout games where garbage time could inflate his opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Klay Thompson's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Thompson went 3-7-0 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 30% of over bets. He averaged 0.4 blocks against typical 0.5 lines, creating consistent value for under bettors with +33.6% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Klay Thompson Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under on Thompson's blocks props. His 0.4 average consistently falls short of 0.5 lines, supported by strong under ROI and his defensive role focusing on perimeter coverage rather than rim protection.
What's Klay Thompson's average Blocks last 10 games?
Thompson averaged 0.4 blocks over his last 10 games, running 0.1 blocks below standard 0.5 lines. This creates a mathematical edge for under bettors, as his role limits natural block opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson blocks unders when he faces perimeter-heavy teams that won't force help defense situations. Avoid in potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his opportunities through increased defensive aggression.