Klay Thompson's blocks prop presents a clear under edge with just 43.2% overs hitting across 44 games. His 0.48 average sits marginally below the standard 0.5 line, generating solid 8.5% ROI on under bets. The data strongly favors betting under on Thompson's blocks.
Expert Analysis
Thompson's blocks trend reflects the reality of his defensive role and physical limitations in his post-injury career. As a perimeter-focused shooting guard, Thompson rarely ventures into shot-blocking situations, averaging just 0.48 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line. His defensive responsibilities center on chasing shooters through screens and guarding the three-point line, not rim protection. The 43.2% over rate across 44 games isn't a small sample fluke—it represents a fundamental mismatch between the betting line and Thompson's actual production. His recent Achilles and ACL injuries have further reduced his explosive first step and vertical leap, making help-side blocks even less frequent. The 8.5% ROI on unders demonstrates consistent value, while the brutal -17.6% ROI on overs shows how the market consistently overestimates his shot-blocking ability. With Golden State's defensive scheme prioritizing switching and perimeter coverage over traditional rim protection, Thompson's block opportunities remain limited. The longest under streak of seven games highlights how consistently he fails to reach the 0.5 threshold, making this one of the more reliable under trends in the NBA.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Thompson's role as a perimeter defender and post-injury physical limitations create a sustainable edge against the 0.5 blocks line. The 8.5% ROI on unders across 44 games provides solid value, especially when Golden State faces teams that don't attack the rim aggressively. Main risk is garbage-time situations or unusually physical games where help-side opportunities increase.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Klay Thompson's Blocks prop record all games?
Thompson's blocks prop shows 19 overs and 25 unders in 44 games, hitting the over just 43.2% of the time. His average of 0.48 blocks consistently falls short of the standard 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Klay Thompson Blocks all games?
Bet under on Thompson's blocks props. The data shows clear value with 8.5% ROI on unders compared to -17.6% on overs, reflecting his limited shot-blocking role as a perimeter defender.
What's Klay Thompson's average Blocks all games?
Thompson averages 0.48 blocks per game, sitting 0.02 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This small but consistent gap creates reliable value for under bettors across his 44-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson's blocks unders when Golden State faces perimeter-oriented teams or in games with faster pace where he'll focus on transition defense rather than help-side rim protection opportunities.