Kevin Huerter's assists props present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 37.8% of overs across 37 games with a brutal -27.8% ROI on the over side. His 2.62 average sits 0.2 assists below the typical 2.8 line, creating consistent value on unders with +18.7% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Huerter's assists struggles stem from Sacramento's offensive hierarchy and his natural scoring mentality. Playing alongside primary facilitators De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis limits his playmaking opportunities, while his career 3.1 assist average suggests the 2.8 line remains optimistically high. The 14-23 over record isn't fluky—it reflects his role as a floor-spacing shooter rather than a creator. His longest under streak of 8 games demonstrates the consistency of this trend, while even his current 2-game over streak pales compared to extended periods of under performance. The Kings' pace and ball movement system actually work against Huerter accumulating assists, as quick ball movement means fewer individual assist opportunities. His shooting-first approach, evidenced by his 40.1% three-point percentage this season, shows where his value lies. The -0.2 differential between his average and the line creates a mathematical edge that compounds over time. Books appear slow to adjust this number downward, possibly due to Huerter's reputation from his Atlanta days when he averaged 4+ assists. Sacramento's system and his reduced playmaking role make those numbers obsolete.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 62.2% under rate combined with +18.7% ROI creates a sustainable edge that books haven't corrected. Huerter's role limitations and the mathematical advantage of averaging 0.2 assists below the line provide consistent value. Target this prop when the line sits at 2.5 or higher, as his natural ceiling remains capped by Sacramento's offensive structure and his shooting-first mentality.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kevin Huerter's Assists prop record all games?
Kevin Huerter's assists prop record across all games shows 14 overs and 23 unders in 37 games, hitting just 37.8% of over bets. The under side has generated a profitable +18.7% ROI while overs lose at -27.8%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kevin Huerter Assists all games?
Bet under on Kevin Huerter's assists props. His 62.2% under rate and +18.7% ROI on unders creates clear value, especially when the line sits at 2.5 or higher given his 2.62 season average.
What's Kevin Huerter's average Assists all games?
Kevin Huerter averages 2.62 assists per game across all contests, sitting 0.2 assists below the typical 2.8 line. This differential creates a mathematical edge for under bettors that compounds over time.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kevin Huerter assists unders when the line reaches 2.5 or higher, particularly in games where Sacramento faces strong defensive teams that limit transition opportunities and force more half-court possessions.