Kevin Durant's blocks prop shows a slight under lean with 48.2% overs (27-29-0) over 56 games. The -8.0% ROI on overs versus -1.1% on unders, combined with his 1.21 average barely exceeding the 1.07 line, suggests modest value on the under.
Expert Analysis
Kevin Durant's blocks production reveals a fascinating disconnect between his defensive reputation and actual rim protection numbers. At 1.21 blocks per game against a 1.07 line, Durant appears to offer value, but the -8.0% over ROI tells a different story. The issue lies in Durant's role within Phoenix's defensive scheme. As a versatile defender who switches frequently, Durant often guards perimeter players rather than camping near the rim where blocks accumulate. His 6'11" frame and wingspan create the illusion of consistent shot-blocking, but his positioning and defensive assignments limit opportunities. The 48.2% over rate reflects this reality—Durant's blocks come in bunches when matchups align, but consistency remains elusive. The recent two-game over streak masks longer patterns of regression, as evidenced by his previous six-game under streak. Durant's blocks are highly matchup-dependent, spiking against teams that attack the rim frequently but disappearing against perimeter-heavy offenses. The small sample variance in blocks props means one or two swats can dramatically alter outcomes, making this market particularly volatile. Phoenix's pace and defensive style further complicate matters, as their switching scheme often positions Durant away from traditional shot-blocking scenarios.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The -8.0% over ROI combined with just 48.2% over rate indicates the market slightly overvalues Durant's blocking ability. His 1.21 average barely clears the 1.07 line, suggesting limited margin for error. Target games against perimeter-heavy offenses where Durant's switching role minimizes rim protection opportunities. The main risk is variance—blocks props can swing dramatically on just one or two plays.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Blocks Prop Lines
Compare Kevin Durant props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kevin Durant's Blocks prop record all games?
Kevin Durant has gone over his blocks prop in 27 of 56 games (48.2%) this season. His under record stands at 29-27-0, showing slightly more unders than overs with no pushes recorded.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kevin Durant Blocks all games?
Lean under on Durant's blocks props. The -8.0% over ROI versus -1.1% under ROI, combined with just 48.2% overs, suggests the market slightly overvalues his shot-blocking despite his imposing frame.
What's Kevin Durant's average Blocks all games?
Durant averages 1.21 blocks per game against a typical line of 1.07. While this 0.14 edge appears favorable, the negative over ROI indicates this small margin isn't enough to overcome market pricing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Durant blocks unders against perimeter-heavy offenses that limit paint attacks. His switching defensive role means fewer rim protection opportunities, making unders more valuable in these specific matchup scenarios.