Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's three-pointers made prop shows mild over value with a 53.8% over rate (14-12-0) and averages 1.69 makes against a typical 1.5 line. The +0.2 differential suggests consistent slight outperformance, making this a lean over opportunity in the right spots.
Expert Analysis
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's three-point production reveals a player consistently exceeding modest expectations, with his 1.69 average sitting comfortably above the standard 1.5 line. The 53.8% over rate across 26 games demonstrates sustainable value rather than random variance, particularly when considering the positive ROI on overs (+2.8%) versus the significant losses on unders (-11.9%). This disparity suggests the market consistently undervalues Caldwell-Pope's three-point volume in Memphis's system. The Grizzlies' pace and ball movement create quality looks for role players like Caldwell-Pope, who has carved out a reliable spot-up role. His shooting mechanics remain consistent, and Memphis's offensive scheme generates the catch-and-shoot opportunities that maximize his efficiency. The balanced streak pattern (longest over: 3, longest under: 3) indicates steady performance without extreme volatility. However, the modest 0.2 differential means this edge requires careful spot selection, as game script and matchup factors can easily swing results. Caldwell-Pope's role stability in Memphis makes this trend more reliable than typical role player props, but the thin margin demands disciplined approach to maximize long-term profitability.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Caldwell-Pope consistently outperforms the 1.5 line with his 1.69 average, and the positive over ROI (+2.8%) versus brutal under losses (-11.9%) reveals market inefficiency. Target games where Memphis projects for higher pace or faces weaker perimeter defense. Main risk is the thin 0.2 margin that makes this sensitive to game flow and rotation changes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Kentavious Caldwell-Pope props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Caldwell-Pope's three-pointers made prop record stands at 14-12-0 over/under across 26 games, translating to a 53.8% over rate. He averages 1.69 makes per game against the typical 1.5 line, showing consistent slight outperformance throughout the season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Caldwell-Pope's three-pointers made props. His 1.69 average beats the 1.5 line consistently, and over bets show positive ROI (+2.8%) while unders lose significantly (-11.9%). Focus on favorable matchups and higher-pace games for best value.
What's Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Caldwell-Pope averages 1.69 three-pointers made per game across all contests. This sits 0.2 above the standard 1.5 line, representing meaningful outperformance that translates to sustainable betting value when properly leveraged in advantageous spots.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Caldwell-Pope three-point overs in games where Memphis faces weaker perimeter defense or projects for higher pace. His role in the Grizzlies' system creates consistent opportunities, making favorable matchups and game scripts the key timing factors for maximizing edge.