Kelly Oubre Jr.'s three-pointers made prop on one day rest presents a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 36.4% of overs across 22 games with a -0.3 differential to the line. The under delivers +21.5% ROI while overs bleed -30.6%, creating a clear mathematical edge.
Expert Analysis
Kelly Oubre Jr. consistently underperforms his three-point props when operating on one day of rest, a pattern that reflects both physical and tactical realities. The 1.27 average against a 1.59 line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted for this rest-specific decline, creating persistent value on the under. This differential likely stems from Oubre's role fluctuations within Philadelphia's rotation, where condensed schedules force tactical adjustments that limit his catch-and-shoot opportunities. The 76ers' pace and offensive flow appear disrupted on back-to-back situations, reducing the quality looks that fuel Oubre's three-point production. His longest under streak of four games demonstrates this isn't random variance but a systematic issue with his shot selection and rhythm when playing on minimal rest. The consistency of this trend across nearly two dozen games suggests it's not merely a small sample aberration. Oubre's three-point shooting requires precise timing and legs underneath his shot, both compromised when the 76ers are managing fatigue and rotation minutes more conservatively. The -30.6% ROI on overs indicates sharp money has likely identified this pattern, yet the line hasn't corrected sufficiently to eliminate the edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.27 average versus 1.59 line creates consistent value, supported by strong under ROI and systematic factors affecting Oubre's three-point volume on one day rest. Target this when the line sits at 1.5 or higher, as Philadelphia's tactical adjustments and Oubre's reduced rhythm consistently limit his deep shooting opportunities in these condensed schedule spots.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kelly Oubre Jr.'s 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Kelly Oubre Jr. has gone under his three-pointers made prop 14 times in 22 games on one day rest, hitting just 36.4% of overs. This 8-14-0 record demonstrates consistent underperformance against oddsmaker expectations in these rest situations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kelly Oubre Jr. 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the under on Kelly Oubre Jr.'s three-pointers made when he has one day rest. The data strongly supports this with +21.5% ROI on unders versus -30.6% on overs, making it a mathematically sound strategy.
What's Kelly Oubre Jr.'s average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Kelly Oubre Jr. averages 1.27 three-pointers made on one day rest compared to the typical line of 1.59. This -0.32 differential consistently favors under bets, as he falls short of expectations in these scheduling spots.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kelly Oubre Jr.'s three-point unders specifically on one day rest when the line is 1.5 or higher. Avoid this prop on longer rest periods where the data doesn't support the same systematic underperformance pattern.