Kelly Oubre Jr. has hit the over on his rebounds prop 60% of the time over his last 10 games, averaging 7.2 rebounds against a 6.0 line for a +1.2 differential. The 14.6% ROI on overs signals legitimate value, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Oubre's rebounding surge reflects Philadelphia's evolving roster dynamics and his expanded role within their system. The 7.2 average against a 6.0 line represents consistent outperformance that suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his increased glass work. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the sustainability factor - Oubre's rebounding isn't dependent on outlier performances but rather steady production above expectation. The 60% over rate with positive ROI indicates this isn't random variance but a measurable edge. However, the recent single-game under streak and lack of detailed split data creates some uncertainty about optimal betting spots. The 4-game over streak earlier in this sample demonstrates Oubre's ability to string together consistent rebounding performances when conditions align. Without injury reports or rest advantages to analyze, the trend relies purely on his current role and effort level on the boards. The key risk lies in potential lineup changes or game script variations that could limit his minutes or rebounding opportunities, but the overall pattern suggests Oubre is being undervalued in the rebounding market.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Oubre's consistent outperformance of his 6.0 rebounding line, coupled with the 14.6% ROI on overs, creates a measurable edge worth exploiting. The 7.2 average represents legitimate value that the market hasn't fully recognized. Primary risk involves potential roster changes or unfavorable game scripts that could limit his rebounding opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 6.5 | 13.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 6.5 | 4.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 11.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kelly Oubre Jr.'s Rebounds prop record last 10 games?
Kelly Oubre Jr. has gone over his rebounds prop 6 times and under 4 times in his last 10 games, posting a 60% over rate with a profitable 14.6% ROI on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kelly Oubre Jr. Rebounds last 10 games?
Lean over on Oubre's rebounds props. His 7.2 average significantly exceeds typical 6.0 lines, and the 14.6% ROI on overs indicates the market is undervaluing his current rebounding production.
What's Kelly Oubre Jr.'s average Rebounds last 10 games?
Oubre is averaging 7.2 rebounds over his last 10 games, which is 1.2 rebounds above the typical 6.0 line, representing consistent value for over bettors in this sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Oubre rebounds overs when lines remain at 6.0 or below, as his recent 7.2 average suggests the market hasn't adjusted to his increased glass work and expanded role.