Kelly Oubre Jr.'s blocks prop presents a compelling over opportunity with an 11-8 record (57.9% hit rate) and 0.79 average significantly exceeding the 0.5 line. The +10.5% ROI on overs reflects consistent value despite his wing position limiting traditional rim protection opportunities.
Expert Analysis
Oubre's blocks production defies conventional wisdom about wing players and shot-blocking. His 0.79 average represents a 58% premium over the standard 0.5 line, suggesting oddsmakers consistently undervalue his defensive activity level. The 57.9% over rate across 19 games indicates genuine skill rather than random variance, particularly impressive for a player whose primary role involves perimeter defense. Oubre's athletic profile and active hands create deflection opportunities that translate to blocks, especially when Philadelphia's defensive scheme asks him to help on drives. The current three-game over streak aligns with his season-long pattern of exceeding expectations. However, the -19.6% under ROI warns against chasing this trend blindly. Oubre's block production likely correlates with opponent pace and driving frequency, making matchup analysis crucial. His positioning as a versatile defender who can guard multiple positions creates varied opportunities for blocks, but also means his defensive assignments fluctuate game-to-game. The lack of detailed split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but the overall trend suggests consistent undervaluation by the market.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Oubre's 0.79 average provides substantial cushion over the 0.5 line, and his 57.9% over rate demonstrates legitimate edge. The +10.5% ROI confirms profitable opportunity despite the modest sample size. Target games where Philadelphia faces uptempo opponents or teams that attack the rim frequently, as these create more block opportunities for Oubre's active defensive style.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kelly Oubre Jr.'s Blocks prop record all games?
Kelly Oubre Jr. has gone over his blocks prop in 11 of 19 games (57.9%) with an 11-8 record. He's averaging 0.79 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line, showing consistent production above market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kelly Oubre Jr. Blocks all games?
Lean over on Oubre's blocks props. His 0.79 average significantly exceeds the 0.5 line, and the 57.9% over rate with +10.5% ROI indicates genuine edge. The market consistently undervalues his defensive activity level.
What's Kelly Oubre Jr.'s average Blocks all games?
Oubre averages 0.79 blocks per game, which is 58% higher than the standard 0.5 line. This substantial differential explains his profitable 11-8 over record and suggests the market hasn't properly adjusted to his defensive impact.
How reliable is this trend?
Target games against uptempo opponents or teams that frequently attack the rim. Oubre's blocks come from help defense and active hands, so matchups featuring more driving and interior attacks create optimal opportunities for his defensive production.