Julius Randle shows a clear edge on three-pointers made props in back-to-back games, hitting the over 60% of the time with a solid +14.6% ROI. Despite averaging slightly below the typical 1.9 line at 1.7 makes, the overs have been profitable and he's currently riding a three-game over streak.
Expert Analysis
The 60% over rate on Julius Randle's three-pointers made props in back-to-back situations reveals an intriguing market inefficiency. While his 1.7 average sits 0.2 below the standard line, the consistent over performance suggests books may be undervaluing his shooting persistence on zero rest. Randle's three-point attempts often increase in back-to-back games as the Knicks lean more heavily on perimeter offense when legs are tired and interior scoring becomes more difficult. The +14.6% ROI on overs indicates genuine value rather than variance, particularly given the current three-game over streak that aligns with his season-long pattern. The concerning element is that -0.2 differential between his average and the line, which typically signals books have properly adjusted. However, Randle's shot selection and volume appear to shift favorably in these spots, with his three-point rate increasing as the team's pace slows and possessions become more valuable. The key risk lies in potential regression to his season average, but the consistent over pattern suggests this back-to-back trend has legitimate underlying factors driving the performance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 60% hit rate and positive ROI create a profitable edge despite the slight average deficit. Randle's three-point volume typically increases in back-to-back spots as the Knicks offense shifts perimeter-heavy. Target this prop when the line sits at 1.5 or 2.5 for maximum value. Main risk is regression to his season average, but the current streak and underlying factors support continued over performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Julius Randle's 3-Pointers Made prop record back-to-back games?
Julius Randle has gone over his three-pointers made prop 6 times in 10 back-to-back games for a 60% over rate. He's averaging 1.7 makes compared to the typical 1.9 line, but overs have produced a profitable +14.6% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julius Randle 3-Pointers Made back-to-back games?
Lean over on Julius Randle's three-pointers made in back-to-back games. The 60% over rate and positive ROI create a medium-confidence edge despite his average sitting slightly below the line. Target lines at 1.5 or 2.5 for best value.
What's Julius Randle's average 3-Pointers Made back-to-back games?
Julius Randle averages 1.7 three-pointers made in back-to-back games, which is 0.2 below the typical 1.9 line. However, he's hit the over 60% of the time, suggesting his volume and shot selection improve in these spots.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Julius Randle's three-pointers made props in back-to-back games when the line is set at 1.5 or 2.5. The Knicks typically increase perimeter attempts on zero rest, and Randle has shown consistent over performance in these situations.