Julian Champagnie has quietly delivered 60% over results across his last 10 games despite averaging 0.6 points below his typical line. The 6-4-0 over record with +14.6% ROI suggests consistent undervaluation by oddsmakers. Lean over on future Champagnie points props.
Expert Analysis
Champagnie's 60% over rate reveals a fascinating disconnect between perception and production. While his 8.1 average sits 0.6 points below the standard 8.7 line, the consistent over results indicate he's finding ways to exceed modest expectations more often than not. The +14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates real betting value, particularly impressive for a role player whose props typically carry tight margins. His current two-game over streak follows a pattern of clustering—he's shown the ability to string together four consecutive overs, suggesting when his shot is falling, it tends to stay hot for multiple games. The lack of extreme variance in his numbers actually works in bettors' favor, as Champagnie rarely disappears completely but frequently finds an extra bucket or two through hustle plays, transition opportunities, or garbage time minutes. San Antonio's development-focused approach often creates extra possessions late in games, giving bench contributors like Champagnie additional scoring chances. The 23.6% under ROI loss reinforces that fading his modest totals has been a losing proposition, likely due to his reliable 3-point shooting keeping him relevant even in limited minutes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Champagnie's 60% over rate with positive ROI suggests consistent line value, particularly for a role player whose props often reflect conservative expectations. The two-game over streak and history of clustering makes him an attractive target when lines remain in the 8-9 point range. Primary risk is reduced minutes if San Antonio gets blown out early, but their competitive games lately have provided steady opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-19 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 8.5 | 3.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 10.5 | 14.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 11.5 | 17.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 9.5 | 11.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Points Prop Lines
Compare Julian Champagnie props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Julian Champagnie's Points prop record last 10 games?
Champagnie has gone over his points total in 6 of his last 10 games (60% rate) with a 6-4-0 record. He's averaging 8.1 points against typical lines around 8.7, showing consistent ability to exceed modest expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julian Champagnie Points last 10 games?
Lean over on Champagnie's points props. His 60% over rate with +14.6% ROI suggests oddsmakers consistently undervalue his scoring ability. The current two-game over streak and positive trend make overs the preferred play.
What's Julian Champagnie's average Points last 10 games?
Champagnie is averaging 8.1 points over his last 10 games, which sits 0.6 points below his typical line of 8.7. Despite the lower average, he's still hitting overs 60% of the time, indicating consistent line value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Champagnie points overs when San Antonio is in competitive games and lines stay in the 8-9 range. His reliable shooting and the team's development focus create consistent opportunities, especially during his hot streaks.