Bet OVER
19-11 O/U Record
63.3% Over Rate
6.3u Units Won
+20.9% ROI
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Jrue Holiday's blocks prop presents a compelling over opportunity with a 63.3% hit rate (19-11-0) and +20.9% ROI across 30 games. His 0.8 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value for disciplined bettors targeting the over.

Expert Analysis

Holiday's blocks success stems from his elite defensive positioning and basketball IQ, consistently finding himself in help defense situations that generate block opportunities. The veteran guard's 0.8 blocks per game represents a 60% premium over the standard 0.5 line, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his defensive impact in Boston's system. His current three-game over streak aligns with a broader pattern of sustained performance rather than hot streaks, as evidenced by his longest over run reaching six games compared to just three for unders. The 63.3% over rate indicates genuine skill-based production rather than random variance. Boston's defensive scheme frequently puts Holiday in positions to help on drives, where his 6'4" frame and quick hands translate to consistent block production. The lack of meaningful regression over 30 games suggests this isn't a fluke but rather a sustainable edge. However, the -30.0% under ROI indicates books are slowly catching up, making timing crucial for maximizing value.

Betting Verdict

LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Holiday's 0.8 blocks average creates legitimate value against 0.5 lines, supported by strong 63.3% over rate and positive ROI trends. The key risk lies in potential line adjustments as books recognize this pattern, making current opportunities more valuable than future ones.

19 OVERS (63.3%)
11 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-10-26 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-03 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-01 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-09 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-03 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-01 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-27 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-02-24 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-22 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-13 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-11 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-04 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-01 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-30 OPP 0.5 3.0 +2.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 62.5% Over
Away 64.3% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 80.0% Over
Last 10 90.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Jrue Holiday's Blocks prop record all games?

Holiday's blocks prop shows a strong 19-11-0 over/under record across 30 games, hitting the over 63.3% of the time with a +20.9% return on investment for over bettors.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jrue Holiday Blocks all games?

Bet the over on Holiday's blocks props. His 0.8 average significantly exceeds typical 0.5 lines, creating consistent value with a proven 63.3% over rate and positive ROI trends.

What's Jrue Holiday's average Blocks all games?

Holiday averages 0.8 blocks per game, which is 60% higher than the standard 0.5 line typically offered by sportsbooks, creating a meaningful statistical edge for over bettors.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Holiday blocks overs when lines remain at 0.5, as books haven't fully adjusted to his defensive production. Avoid when lines move to 1.0+ or during back-to-back situations.

Methodology: This analysis covers 30 games from 2023-11-22 to 2024-10-26. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.