Jonathan Kuminga's three-point prop has been a consistent under play, hitting just 40% overs across his last 10 games with a 4-6-0 record. Despite averaging 0.7 makes against a 0.5 line, the under has delivered a solid 14.6% ROI while overs have burned at -23.6%. The data clearly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
Kuminga's three-point struggles reflect his evolving role within Golden State's system and his natural playing style as a slashing forward. The 0.7 average against a 0.5 line creates a misleading impression of value on overs, but the 40% hit rate tells the real story. This disconnect suggests Kuminga's three-point production comes in bunches rather than consistent nightly contributions. His longest over streak reached just two games while under streaks extended to three, indicating volatility that favors the under. The Warriors' pace and ball movement typically create open looks, but Kuminga's shot selection and confidence from deep remain inconsistent. His role as a secondary scorer means three-point attempts often depend on game flow and matchup dynamics rather than designed plays. The negative ROI on overs (-23.6%) combined with the positive under return (14.6%) creates a clear mathematical edge. Without favorable splits or situational data to identify optimal over spots, the trend strongly supports continued under betting until Kuminga demonstrates more consistent perimeter shooting or his role shifts to emphasize three-point volume.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 60% under hit rate and positive 14.6% ROI create a sustainable edge despite the slightly elevated 0.7 average. Kuminga's inconsistent three-point shooting and role volatility make the under the mathematically superior play. Target games where Golden State faces slower-paced opponents or when Kuminga's minutes might be limited by matchup factors.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jonathan Kuminga's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Kuminga went 4-6-0 over/under on his three-pointers made prop in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. This translates to 6 unders and 4 overs with no pushes across the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jonathan Kuminga 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Kuminga's three-pointers made props. The 60% under hit rate and positive 14.6% ROI provide a clear mathematical edge, while overs have burned money at -23.6% despite his 0.7 average.
What's Jonathan Kuminga's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Kuminga averaged 0.7 three-pointers made over his last 10 games against a typical line of 0.5, creating a +0.2 differential. However, this average masks inconsistent game-to-game production that favors under betting despite the positive differential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kuminga three-point unders when Golden State faces slower-paced teams or defensive-minded opponents who limit transition opportunities. His inconsistent shooting makes the under most profitable regardless of specific game conditions based on current trends.