Jonathan Kuminga's three-pointers made props at home present a stark under opportunity with just 37.5% overs hitting across 16 games. His 0.5 average exactly matches the typical line, but the -28.4% ROI on overs tells the real story. The under side offers compelling value.
Expert Analysis
Kuminga's home three-point struggles reveal a player whose offensive role remains inconsistent within Golden State's system. The 6-10 over/under record masks deeper issues with his shot selection and usage patterns at Chase Center. While his 0.5 average aligns with standard lines, the brutal -28.4% ROI on overs indicates books are slow to adjust to his limited three-point volume. Kuminga's game centers on athleticism and finishing around the rim rather than perimeter shooting, making him a poor bet for three-point production. The Warriors' depth and established shooting hierarchy with Curry, Thompson, and others limit his opportunities from deep. Home games haven't provided the comfort boost typical players experience, suggesting his three-point shooting remains a work in progress regardless of venue. The 19.3% ROI on unders demonstrates clear market inefficiency, as casual bettors likely overestimate his shooting based on highlight plays rather than consistent production. His longest under streak of three games shows the sustainability of this trend, while the current single-game over streak appears more aberrational than indicative of improvement.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Kuminga's role as an athletic finisher rather than perimeter shooter creates consistent value on three-point unders at home. The 19.3% under ROI and 62.5% hit rate provide solid mathematical backing. Target games where Golden State's established shooters are healthy and the pace projects slower, limiting Kuminga's three-point attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jonathan Kuminga's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Kuminga's three-pointers made prop at home shows a 6-10 over/under record (37.5% overs) across 16 games. The under side has generated a positive 19.3% ROI compared to -28.4% for overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jonathan Kuminga 3-Pointers Made home games?
Bet the under on Kuminga's three-pointers made at home. The 62.5% under hit rate and positive ROI reflect his limited perimeter role within Golden State's established offensive system.
What's Jonathan Kuminga's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Kuminga averages exactly 0.5 three-pointers made in home games, matching the typical betting line. However, this average masks the frequency with which he fails to reach even modest three-point totals.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kuminga three-point unders when Golden State's primary shooters are healthy and available. Slower-paced games against defensive teams further limit his three-point opportunities and strengthen the under case.