Jimmy Butler III shows a perfectly balanced 5-5-0 record on assists props over his last 10 games, with his 5.7 average sitting just half an assist above the typical 5.2 line. The modest +0.5 differential and flat ROI suggest a coin flip proposition with minimal edge either direction.
Expert Analysis
Butler's assist production over this 10-game stretch reveals a player operating within his expected range, making this prop particularly challenging to attack with confidence. The 5.7 average against a 5.2 line creates only a marginal 0.5 assist cushion, which falls well within normal variance for a secondary playmaker. What's most telling is the complete balance in outcomes - neither overs nor unders have shown any sustained momentum, with the longest streak in either direction capping at just two games. This suggests Butler's assist totals are largely matchup and game-flow dependent rather than driven by any underlying usage shift. The lack of available split data prevents deeper context analysis, but Butler's role as Miami's primary offensive initiator when healthy typically produces this type of steady, if unspectacular, assist volume. The current one-game under streak means nothing in this context, as the sample shows equal propensity for both outcomes. Without clear situational edges or usage trends, this becomes a pure coin flip where sportsbooks have likely found proper pricing equilibrium.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and minimal 0.5 differential indicate the market has found proper pricing on Butler's assist props. Neither side offers meaningful edge, and the flat ROI confirms this is essentially a coin flip. Without situational splits or clear usage trends, there's no compelling reason to force action on what appears to be efficiently priced.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 8.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Jimmy Butler III props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jimmy Butler III's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Butler has gone 5-5-0 on assists props over his last 10 games, showing perfect balance between overs and unders. His 5.7 average sits just 0.5 assists above the typical 5.2 line, creating minimal edge in either direction.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jimmy Butler III Assists last 10 games?
Pass on Butler's assists props. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and minimal differential show this is essentially a coin flip with no meaningful edge. The market appears to have found proper pricing equilibrium on his assist totals.
What's Jimmy Butler III's average Assists last 10 games?
Butler is averaging 5.7 assists over his last 10 games compared to the typical 5.2 line, creating just a 0.5 assist cushion. This modest differential falls within normal variance and doesn't provide significant betting edge.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid Butler's assists props until situational data emerges. The current sample shows no clear patterns based on opponent, rest, or game flow. Wait for specific matchup advantages or usage shifts before attacking these lines.