Jeremy Sochan's three-point shooting with 2+ days rest presents a slight under edge despite averaging 0.55 makes against a 0.5 line. His 5-6-0 over/under record (45.5% overs) combined with -13.2% ROI on overs suggests consistent underperformance relative to market expectations.
Expert Analysis
Jeremy Sochan's three-point production with extended rest reveals a fascinating disconnect between raw averages and betting value. While his 0.55 average exceeds the standard 0.5 line by 0.1, the 45.5% over rate tells a different story about market efficiency. The -13.2% ROI on overs indicates the market consistently overvalues Sochan's three-point ceiling in these spots. This makes sense when considering Sochan's role as a versatile forward who prioritizes defensive positioning and facilitating over volume shooting. Extended rest doesn't appear to unlock additional three-point attempts for Sochan the way it might for primary scorers. His shooting mechanics remain inconsistent, and extra recovery time doesn't address his fundamental three-point limitations. The Spurs' pace and offensive system also factor heavily - they often utilize Sochan in screening actions and transition opportunities that don't necessarily translate to catch-and-shoot situations. The modest sample size of 11 games provides decent reliability, spanning nearly five months of action. Most telling is how the market continues to set lines that create negative expected value on overs, suggesting recreational bettors consistently overestimate rest's impact on role players' shooting volume.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The +4.1% ROI on unders combined with a 54.5% under hit rate creates modest but consistent value. Sochan's role doesn't expand meaningfully with rest, and his three-point mechanics remain unreliable regardless of recovery time. Target this spot when the line sits at 0.5, avoiding any inflated numbers that eliminate the edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Jeremy Sochan props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's 3-Pointers Made prop record 2+ days rest?
Jeremy Sochan goes 5-6-0 over/under on three-pointers made with 2+ days rest, hitting overs just 45.5% of the time across 11 games. The under rate of 54.5% creates a slight but consistent edge for contrarian bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan 3-Pointers Made 2+ days rest?
Lean under on Jeremy Sochan three-pointers made with 2+ days rest. The 54.5% under rate and +4.1% ROI on unders provides modest value, while overs show -13.2% ROI despite his 0.55 average exceeding the typical 0.5 line.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average 3-Pointers Made 2+ days rest?
Jeremy Sochan averages 0.55 three-pointers made with 2+ days rest, slightly above the standard 0.5 line. However, this 0.1 differential hasn't translated to profitable overs, suggesting the market overvalues his ceiling in these situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jeremy Sochan three-point unders specifically with 2+ days rest when the line is 0.5. Avoid this prop on back-to-backs or single rest days where different dynamics apply and the sample data doesn't support the edge.