Jeremy Sochan's three-point prop on one day rest shows clear under value, hitting just 44.1% overs across 34 games with a negative 15.8% ROI on overs. His 0.85 average barely exceeds typical 0.62 lines, making the under a consistent profit center.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's three-point struggles on standard rest reflect his evolving role and shot selection discipline. The 0.85 average against 0.62 lines creates a deceptive margin that favors books, as his shooting variance rarely sustains extended hot streaks. His longest over streak of six games represents the ceiling, while four-game under runs show his natural floor. The negative 15.8% ROI on overs indicates recreational money consistently overvalues his perimeter upside. Sochan's development as a versatile forward means he's often hunting better shots inside the arc, particularly when fresh. The 6.7% positive ROI on unders isn't massive but represents steady value in a market that consistently misprices his three-point frequency. His current single-game under streak suggests he's settling into his natural rhythm, focusing on rebounds and interior play rather than forcing perimeter attempts. The sample size of 34 games provides solid confidence, spanning different opponents and game scripts. Books likely set his lines based on his occasional hot shooting nights rather than his consistent role as a non-shooter, creating persistent under value for sharp bettors who recognize his true three-point ceiling.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Sochan's 44.1% over rate and negative ROI on overs create steady under value, particularly when books set lines at 0.5 or higher. Target games where he's expected to play his natural power forward role focusing on rebounds and interior play. Main risk is an unexpected hot shooting night, but his track record suggests these are outliers rather than sustainable trends.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Jeremy Sochan's three-pointers made prop on one day rest shows a 15-19-0 over/under record (44.1% overs) across 34 games, with overs producing a negative 15.8% ROI while unders generated positive 6.7% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet under on Sochan's three-pointers made with one day rest. The 44.1% over rate and consistent under profitability make this a solid value play, especially when lines are set at 0.5 or higher.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Sochan averages 0.85 three-pointers made on one day rest compared to typical 0.62 lines, creating a deceptive 0.23 margin that actually favors unders due to his inconsistent perimeter shooting and role-based shot selection.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan three-point unders when he's playing power forward in expected blowouts or against teams that force interior play. Avoid when San Antonio needs perimeter shooting or in high-pace matchups favoring transition threes.