Jeremy Sochan's three-point prop presents a clear over opportunity despite a balanced 5-5 record. His 1.0 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating a +0.5 differential that overcomes the current three-game under streak. The market appears to undervalue his improved long-range shooting.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's three-point evolution tells a compelling story that the betting market hasn't fully recognized. His 1.0 average over the past 10 games represents a substantial improvement from his career trajectory, suggesting genuine development rather than random variance. The 5-5 over/under record masks the true edge - when Sochan hits multiple threes, he typically exceeds the line by significant margins, while his misses often land right at zero or one make. The current three-game under streak appears more situational than systematic, likely reflecting recent game scripts or matchup-specific factors rather than regression to old form. San Antonio's increased pace and Sochan's expanded role create more three-point opportunities than his historical usage patterns suggest. The key concern lies in his streaky nature - when he's cold, he tends to avoid three-point attempts entirely, but when confident, he'll let several fly. His shot selection has improved markedly, taking more catch-and-shoot opportunities rather than contested pull-ups. The betting market seems anchored to his previous seasons' limited three-point volume, creating persistent value on overs when the line sits at 0.5 makes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Sochan's 1.0 average against a 0.5 line creates mathematical value that outweighs the recent under streak. Target games where San Antonio faces up-tempo opponents or when Sochan logs heavy minutes in competitive contests. The primary risk involves his tendency to abandon three-point shooting entirely during cold stretches, but his improved shot selection and expanded role provide enough confidence to back the over selectively.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Jeremy Sochan props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Sochan went 5-5 over/under on his three-point props in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. Despite the balanced record, his 1.0 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 betting line, suggesting consistent value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Sochan's three-point props. His 1.0 average creates a +0.5 edge against standard lines, and the recent three-game under streak appears more situational than systematic, making overs the preferred play.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Sochan averaged exactly 1.0 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, doubling the typical 0.5 betting line. This +0.5 differential represents significant value, especially given his improved shot selection and expanded role.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan three-point overs in up-tempo games or when he's logging heavy minutes in competitive contests. Avoid when San Antonio faces elite perimeter defenses or during back-to-back situations where his aggressiveness typically decreases.