Jeremy Sochan's assists prop shows a perfectly balanced 5-5 record over his last 10 games with a modest 2.8 average against a 2.5 line. The minimal +0.3 differential and negative ROI on both sides suggest this is an efficiently priced market with no clear edge.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's assists trend reveals a remarkably efficient market where oddsmakers have accurately captured his playmaking output. The 2.8 average against a 2.5 line represents just a 12% edge, well within the margin of error for a 10-game sample. The perfectly split 5-5 record indicates no systematic bias in either direction, while the negative ROI on both overs and unders reflects the vig eating into potential profits. This pattern suggests Sochan's assist production has stabilized around his expected output, with the Spurs' offensive system providing consistent opportunities for the versatile forward to facilitate. The lack of extreme streaks (longest run of 3 overs, 2 unders) further supports the notion that his playmaking role remains steady game-to-game. Without additional context about matchup-specific factors, pace variations, or usage rate changes, this appears to be a player whose assists prop is accurately priced by the market. The absence of split data makes it impossible to identify situational advantages, leaving bettors with a coin-flip proposition that slightly favors the house through juice.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Sochan's assists prop represents a textbook efficiently priced market where both sides carry negative expected value. The balanced 5-5 record and minimal differential suggest oddsmakers have dialed in his true output level. Without situational splits or clear trend indicators, this becomes a pure guess with house edge working against you. Save your bankroll for props with clearer edges.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Sochan has gone 5-5 on assists overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% with a 2.8 average. The balanced record shows no clear trend in either direction for his recent playmaking output.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Assists last 10 games?
Pass on Sochan's assists props based on recent data. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no edge for bettors.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Assists last 10 games?
Sochan is averaging 2.8 assists over his last 10 games against a typical 2.5 line, creating a modest +0.3 differential that barely exceeds the margin of error for small samples.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Sochan's assists props without additional context. The current data shows an efficiently priced market. Wait for situational advantages like pace-up matchups or injury-related usage changes to find value.