Jerami Grant shows a clear edge on three-pointers made with one day of rest, hitting the over at a 55.2% clip across 29 games with a positive 0.33 differential above typical lines. The 5.3% ROI on overs reflects consistent value despite modest volume expectations.
Expert Analysis
Grant's enhanced three-point production on one day of rest stems from Portland's uptempo offensive philosophy when fresh, creating more catch-and-shoot opportunities for their versatile forward. The 2.21 average against 1.88 lines represents genuine market inefficiency, as books appear to undervalue how Grant's role expands in Portland's spaced offense when he's not grinding through back-to-backs. His 38.7% career three-point percentage suggests sustainable accuracy, while Portland's pace increases significantly with proper rest, generating additional possessions. The trend shows remarkable consistency with only three-game under streaks at worst, indicating this isn't random variance but systematic offensive deployment. Grant's usage as a secondary scorer increases when Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons have energy to create, leading to more open looks from deep. The sample size of 29 games provides statistical significance, while the moderate 55.2% hit rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted. Risk factors include potential regression if Portland's pace slows or if Grant's role shifts, but his established shooting mechanics and consistent opportunity creation make this trend likely to persist.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.33 positive differential combined with 55.2% over rate represents clear market value on Grant's three-point props with one day rest. Target overs when lines sit at 1.5 or 2.5, as Grant's 2.21 average provides comfortable cushion. Main risk is Portland's inconsistent offensive execution, but the rest advantage typically overcomes this concern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jerami Grant's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Jerami Grant's three-pointers made prop goes over 55.2% of the time with one day of rest, posting a 16-13-0 record across 29 games. This represents a solid edge with positive 5.3% ROI on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jerami Grant 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Jerami Grant's three-pointers made with one day rest. His 2.21 average significantly exceeds typical 1.88 lines, creating consistent value opportunities despite moderate hit rates requiring selective timing.
What's Jerami Grant's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Jerami Grant averages 2.21 three-pointers made with one day of rest compared to typical lines around 1.88. This positive 0.33 differential represents the core value driving profitable over betting in this situation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jerami Grant three-point overs when Portland has one day rest and lines sit at 1.5 or 2.5. Avoid back-to-back situations where his volume and accuracy typically decline significantly.