Jerami Grant's assists prop presents a perfectly balanced dead heat with a 5-5-0 record over his last 10 games, averaging 3.1 assists against a 3.0 line. The minimal 0.1 differential and negative ROI on both sides signal an efficiently priced market with no clear edge.
Expert Analysis
Grant's assists production over this 10-game sample reveals a player operating within tight parameters around his projected output. The 3.1 average against a 3.0 line represents textbook market efficiency, suggesting oddsmakers have accurately captured his current role and usage patterns. The balanced 5-5 split indicates Grant's playmaking opportunities are consistent but limited, likely reflecting Portland's offensive structure where he functions more as a complementary scorer than primary facilitator. The identical -4.5% ROI on both sides is particularly telling, demonstrating the market has found equilibrium. Grant's assists production appears tied to game flow and matchup dynamics rather than any systematic trend. The recent one-game under streak following equal four-game streaks in both directions reinforces the randomness inherent in this prop. Without additional context about pace, opponent defensive schemes, or teammate availability, Grant's assists prop appears to be trading at fair value. The lack of exploitable patterns suggests his playmaking role has stabilized, making this more about situational reads than systematic betting opportunities.
Betting Verdict
PASS with MEDIUM confidence. The perfectly balanced record and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no sustainable edge. Grant's 3.1 average barely exceeds the 3.0 line, falling within normal variance rather than revealing systematic value. Focus on game-specific factors like pace, opponent defensive rating against forwards, or injury-related usage changes rather than chasing this neutral trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jerami Grant's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Grant has gone 5-5-0 on his assists over/under in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% overs with a 3.1 average against the typical 3.0 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jerami Grant Assists last 10 games?
Pass on Grant's assists props based on this trend. The balanced record and negative ROI on both sides indicate fair market pricing with no sustainable edge to exploit.
What's Jerami Grant's average Assists last 10 games?
Grant is averaging 3.1 assists over his last 10 games against a 3.0 line, creating just a 0.1 differential that falls within normal statistical variance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Grant's assists props during pace-up spots or when Portland faces poor perimeter defenses that force more ball movement and secondary playmaking opportunities from forwards.