Jalen Suggs has demolished his three-pointers made line at home, hitting overs at a dominant 67.6% rate (25-12-0) across 37 games. The Magic guard averages 2.24 threes at Amway Center, a full 0.44 shots above the typical 1.8 line. This represents a clear OVER lean with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Suggs transforms into a different shooter within Orlando's friendly confines, and the numbers reveal a systematic home-court advantage that extends beyond typical variance. The 2.24 average against an 1.8 line creates meaningful value, while the +29.0% ROI on overs demonstrates sustained profitability over a substantial 37-game sample. Home shooters often benefit from familiar sight lines, crowd energy, and reduced travel fatigue, factors that appear magnified for Suggs given his role as Orlando's primary perimeter threat. The Magic's pace and offensive system at home likely create more catch-and-shoot opportunities, allowing Suggs to settle into rhythm shooting rather than forcing contested attempts. His longest over streak of eight games suggests he can get locked in for extended periods at home, while the modest four-game under streak indicates he rarely goes completely cold. The 67.6% over rate isn't unsustainable given the underlying factors, though regression toward 60% would still maintain profitability. Without opposing defenses or injury concerns to evaluate, the primary risk lies in potential line adjustments if books recognize this edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Suggs's home three-point production consistently exceeds market expectations, creating a sustainable edge backed by strong sample size and meaningful average differential. Target games where Orlando faces up-tempo opponents or when Suggs enters with recent shooting confidence. Main risk is the market eventually adjusting lines upward, though current 1.8 offerings still provide value given his 2.24 home average.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Jalen Suggs props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jalen Suggs's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Suggs has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 25 of 37 home games (67.6% rate) with a 25-12-0 record. This represents a strong trend with +29.0% ROI on overs and -38.1% on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jalen Suggs 3-Pointers Made home games?
Bet the OVER on Suggs's three-pointers made at home. His 67.6% over rate and 2.24 average against typical 1.8 lines create consistent value. Focus on games with favorable pace or when he's shooting confidently.
What's Jalen Suggs's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Suggs averages 2.24 three-pointers made in home games, which is 0.44 shots above the standard 1.8 line. This significant differential of nearly half a made three-pointer creates the foundation for consistent over value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Suggs's three-point overs during Orlando home games, especially against up-tempo teams or when he's coming off strong shooting performances. Avoid after extended road trips or when facing elite perimeter defenses that could disrupt his rhythm.