Ivica Zubac shows a concerning blocks trend on one day rest, hitting overs just 46.2% of the time across 26 games with a negative 11.9% ROI. His 1.23 average barely exceeds typical lines around 1.19, creating minimal value for over bettors. The data suggests consistent under value.
Expert Analysis
Ivica Zubac's blocks production on one day rest reveals a systematic underperformance that sharp bettors should exploit. The 12-14 over-under record represents more than random variance—it suggests the market consistently overvalues his shot-blocking ability in this rest scenario. His 1.23 average on one day rest creates only a marginal 0.04 edge over typical 1.19 lines, hardly justifying the risk premium built into over prices. The -11.9% ROI on overs tells the real story: books are pricing these props efficiently while bettors chase the upside of a seven-footer's blocking potential. Zubac's role as a traditional center means his minutes and usage remain relatively stable regardless of rest, but his defensive intensity and positioning may suffer slightly with limited recovery time. The 2.8% positive ROI on unders, while modest, represents consistent value over 26 games. This isn't a small sample fluke—it's a meaningful dataset spanning nearly half a season that reveals a genuine market inefficiency in how Zubac's blocks are priced following one day of rest.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, even if margins are thin. Target this spot when lines sit at 1.5 blocks, where Zubac's 1.23 average provides comfortable cushion. The primary risk is his ceiling games against smaller lineups, but the data shows these don't occur frequently enough to offset the consistent value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ivica Zubac's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Zubac's blocks record on one day rest stands at 12-14, hitting overs just 46.2% of the time across 26 games. This 54% under rate represents a meaningful sample size spanning nearly half a season of data.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ivica Zubac Blocks 1 day rest?
Lean under on Zubac's blocks props with one day rest. The 54% under rate and positive 2.8% ROI on unders creates consistent value, especially when lines are set at 1.5 blocks or higher.
What's Ivica Zubac's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Zubac averages 1.23 blocks on one day rest, barely exceeding typical lines around 1.19. This minimal 0.04 differential provides little margin for error on over bets, making unders the superior value play.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Zubac blocks unders when he has one day rest and lines are 1.5 or higher. Avoid when facing smaller lineups that force more switches, as these matchups can produce his ceiling blocking games.