Immanuel Quickley shows a modest edge on three-pointers made with one day rest, hitting the over at a 54.2% clip across 24 games. The +0.1 differential above his typical line suggests minimal but consistent value, though the 3.4% ROI indicates thin margins for profit.
Expert Analysis
Quickley's three-point performance on one day rest reveals a player who benefits from the recovery-rhythm balance. The 54.2% over rate across 24 games represents meaningful sample size, while his 2.71 average exceeding the typical 2.62 line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to this pattern. The one-day rest scenario appears optimal for Quickley's shooting mechanics - enough recovery to feel fresh without the rust that longer layoffs can create. His role as Toronto's primary perimeter threat means consistent volume regardless of rest, but the slight uptick in efficiency with one day off likely stems from reduced fatigue affecting his shooting form. The recent under streak of just one game doesn't negate the broader trend, especially given his longer four-game over streak demonstrates sustainability. However, the modest 3.4% ROI over suggests this edge exists in a narrow band - profitable but requiring selective application. The lack of dramatic splits data actually strengthens the case, indicating consistency rather than boom-bust volatility. Quickley's three-point props on one day rest offer steady, if unspectacular, value for disciplined bettors willing to grind small edges.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54.2% hit rate and positive differential provide legitimate edge, but thin margins demand selectivity. Target this spot when Quickley's line sits at 2.5 or lower, maximizing the statistical advantage. Primary risk involves Toronto's inconsistent offensive flow potentially limiting quality looks despite adequate rest.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Immanuel Quickley's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Quickley goes 13-11 over/under on three-pointers made with one day rest, hitting overs 54.2% of the time. His 2.71 average in these 24 games sits above the typical 2.62 line, creating consistent value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Quickley's three-pointers made with one day rest. The 54.2% over rate and positive differential provide edge, but target lines of 2.5 or lower for maximum value given the thin margins.
What's Immanuel Quickley's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Quickley averages 2.71 three-pointers made with one day rest compared to his typical 2.62 line. This +0.1 differential represents the core value proposition, though margins remain relatively thin for bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Quickley's three-point props specifically on one day rest when his line is 2.5 or lower. This maximizes the statistical edge while accounting for the modest ROI requiring selective application.