Immanuel Quickley has delivered exceptional value on points props, hitting the over in 7 of his last 10 games (70%) while averaging 21.9 points against a 19.3 line. The +2.6 differential and 33.6% ROI on overs signals a clear edge. Lean Over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Quickley's surge reflects his expanded role in Toronto's backcourt rotation, where he's consistently exceeding modest market expectations. The 21.9 scoring average against a 19.3 line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his increased usage and confidence. His three-game over streak indicates momentum, while the longest under streak was just two games, showing consistent floor. The 70% over rate isn't fluky—it's supported by real production increases. However, regression concerns exist as books typically adjust quickly to profitable trends. The sample size, while meaningful, isn't massive enough to guarantee future performance. Quickley's role stability in Toronto's system appears sustainable, but injury concerns or lineup changes could derail this trend. The key question isn't whether Quickley can score—it's whether the market will continue undervaluing his output. His ability to contribute across multiple categories (threes, free throws, drives) provides multiple paths to his number, making overs more reliable than pure volume scorers.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Quickley's 2.6-point average differential above the line represents genuine value that hasn't been fully corrected by the market. The 70% over rate backed by consistent production makes this a profitable trend to ride. Target games where Toronto faces pace-up spots or when Quickley's usage remains elevated. Main risk is rapid line adjustment as books catch up to his expanded role.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 18.5 | 20.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 20.5 | 34.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 15.5 | 25.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-09 | OPP | 15.5 | 10.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 20.5 | 32.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 20.5 | 31.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 17.5 | 25.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 19.5 | 20.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 21.5 | 12.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 23.5 | 10.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Immanuel Quickley's Points prop record last 10 games?
Quickley has gone over his points prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70% over rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's averaging 21.9 points against a typical line of 19.3, creating a +2.6 differential that's generated strong returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley Points last 10 games?
Bet the over on Quickley's points props. His 70% over rate and +2.6 average differential above the line represents clear market inefficiency. The 33.6% ROI on overs shows this isn't just luck—it's sustainable value worth targeting.
What's Immanuel Quickley's average Points last 10 games?
Quickley is averaging 21.9 points over his last 10 games compared to his typical line of 19.3. This +2.6 differential shows he's consistently exceeding market expectations, making overs the profitable side to target going forward.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Quickley points overs when Toronto faces pace-up matchups or when he's locked into heavy minutes. His expanded role provides consistent scoring opportunities, making any line under 20.5 particularly attractive given his recent 21.9 average.