Bet OVER
17-7 O/U Record
70.8% Over Rate
8.5u Units Won
+35.2% ROI
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Immanuel Quickley's assists prop on one day rest presents a compelling over opportunity with a 70.8% hit rate across 24 games. The Raptors guard averages 7.88 assists versus a 5.83 line, creating a massive +2.0 differential that has generated +35.2% ROI. This represents a high-conviction over play.

Expert Analysis

Immanuel Quickley transforms into a primary facilitator when operating on standard rest, and the numbers paint a clear picture of market inefficiency. His 7.88 assist average on one day rest significantly exceeds the typical 5.83 line, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his elevated role in Toronto's offense. The 70.8% over rate across 24 games isn't a small sample fluke—it represents consistent outperformance that stems from Quickley's increased usage as the primary ball-handler when properly rested. The +2.0 differential between his average and the line is substantial in assist props, where margins are typically much tighter. What makes this trend particularly reliable is the physiological component: assists require court vision, decision-making speed, and the energy to create for teammates throughout the game. With adequate rest, Quickley maintains the mental sharpness and physical stamina needed to orchestrate Toronto's offense effectively. The -44.3% under ROI reinforces how consistently the market undervalues his playmaking on standard rest. While regression is always possible with any trend, the underlying factors—his role, usage rate, and the correlation between rest and assist production—suggest this edge has staying power.

Betting Verdict

OVER with HIGH confidence. Immanuel Quickley's assists prop on one day rest offers exceptional value, backed by a 70.8% success rate and +35.2% ROI over 24 games. The 2.0-point gap between his 7.88 average and typical lines creates consistent betting opportunities. Target this spot when Quickley is rested and Toronto faces pace-neutral or uptempo opponents, as increased possessions amplify his assist potential.

17 OVERS (70.8%)
7 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-14 OPP 4.5 5.0 +0.5 OVER
2025-01-11 OPP 5.5 2.0 -3.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 7.5 13.0 +5.5 OVER
2024-04-05 OPP 6.5 9.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 6.5 6.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-17 OPP 7.5 5.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-03-15 OPP 7.5 10.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-03-09 OPP 8.5 7.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-07 OPP 7.5 18.0 +10.5 OVER
2024-03-05 OPP 6.5 7.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-03 OPP 6.5 11.0 +4.5 OVER
2024-03-01 OPP 5.5 11.0 +5.5 OVER
2024-02-28 OPP 5.5 9.0 +3.5 OVER
2024-02-14 OPP 5.5 7.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-02-12 OPP 5.5 3.0 -2.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 72.7% Over
Away 69.2% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over
Last 10 60.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Immanuel Quickley's Assists prop record 1 day rest?

Immanuel Quickley's assists prop record on one day rest is exceptional at 17-7-0 over/under (70.8% overs). He's averaged 7.88 assists across 24 games in this spot, consistently exceeding market expectations and generating significant value for over bettors.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley Assists 1 day rest?

Bet the OVER on Immanuel Quickley's assists when he has one day rest. His 70.8% over rate and +35.2% ROI make this a high-confidence play. The 2.0-point gap between his average and typical lines creates consistent value.

What's Immanuel Quickley's average Assists 1 day rest?

Immanuel Quickley averages 7.88 assists on one day rest compared to the typical 5.83 line, creating a massive +2.0 differential. This substantial gap explains his 70.8% over rate and represents one of the strongest prop edges available.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Immanuel Quickley assists overs when he has exactly one day rest, especially against pace-neutral or uptempo opponents. Avoid back-to-backs or extended rest situations where his usage patterns and the line adjustment may differ significantly from this profitable spot.

Methodology: This analysis covers 24 games from 2024-01-03 to 2025-03-14. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.