Bet OVER
20-15 O/U Record
57.1% Over Rate
3.2u Units Won
+9.1% ROI
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Immanuel Quickley has delivered exceptional assist production this season, hitting overs at a 57.1% clip with a robust +9.1% ROI. The Raptors guard averages 6.77 assists against a typical 5.73 line, creating a full assist of value. This represents a clear statistical edge worth targeting.

Expert Analysis

Quickley's assist production reflects his expanded role as Toronto's primary facilitator following their roster reconstruction. The 6.77 average against a 5.73 line creates meaningful value, but the 57.1% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his increased usage. His transition from New York's sixth man to Toronto's starting point guard fundamentally changed his assist opportunities, as he now handles primary ball-handling duties for extended stretches. The Raptors' pace-heavy system and emphasis on ball movement naturally inflate assist totals for their primary distributor. However, the +9.1% ROI on overs indicates this isn't just volume-driven luck—there's genuine edge in the market's undervaluation of his playmaking. The lack of recent volatility in his role suggests this production level has staying power, unlike situational spikes that often regress. Toronto's young core continues developing chemistry with Quickley, potentially creating even more assist opportunities as the season progresses. The absence of a true secondary facilitator means Quickley's assist floor remains elevated even in difficult matchups, as he's essential to their offensive flow regardless of game script.

Betting Verdict

LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Quickley's 57.1% over rate and +1.0 average differential represent solid value, though not overwhelming enough for maximum conviction. The key edge lies in books undervaluing his expanded role as Toronto's primary facilitator. Target overs when lines sit at 5.5 or below, as his 6.77 average provides comfortable cushion. Main risk is potential lineup changes or injury management affecting his minutes distribution.

20 OVERS (57.1%)
15 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-14 OPP 4.5 5.0 +0.5 OVER
2025-03-07 OPP 6.5 5.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-01-11 OPP 5.5 2.0 -3.5 UNDER
2025-01-09 OPP 5.5 7.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-10 OPP 7.5 9.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-07 OPP 7.5 13.0 +5.5 OVER
2024-04-05 OPP 6.5 9.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 6.5 6.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-17 OPP 7.5 5.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-03-15 OPP 7.5 10.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-03-09 OPP 8.5 7.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-07 OPP 7.5 18.0 +10.5 OVER
2024-03-05 OPP 6.5 7.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-03 OPP 6.5 11.0 +4.5 OVER
2024-03-01 OPP 5.5 11.0 +5.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 63.2% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over
Last 10 60.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Immanuel Quickley's Assists prop record all games?

Quickley's assist props show a 20-15-0 over/under record across 35 games, hitting overs at a 57.1% rate. This translates to a profitable +9.1% ROI on over bets while under bets have lost -18.2%.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley Assists all games?

Lean over on Quickley's assist props. His 6.77 average against a 5.73 line creates genuine value, supported by a 57.1% over rate and positive ROI that indicates market inefficiency in his favor.

What's Immanuel Quickley's average Assists all games?

Quickley averages 6.77 assists per game this season, which runs a full assist above his typical 5.73 line. This +1.0 differential represents significant value for over bettors in the assists market.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Quickley assist overs when lines are set at 5.5 or below, maximizing the value from his 6.77 average. His role as Toronto's primary facilitator makes these props most valuable in standard rotation games.

Methodology: This analysis covers 35 games from 2023-12-25 to 2025-03-14. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.