Herbert Jones blocks props on one day rest present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 42.3% overs across 26 games with a brutal -19.2% ROI on overs. The 0.62 average barely clears the typical 0.5 line, and Jones is currently riding a five-game under streak.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a compelling picture for under bettors on Herbert Jones blocks props following one day of rest. His 42.3% over rate across 26 games represents meaningful sample size, and the -19.2% ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his reduced rim protection on shorter rest. Jones averages just 0.62 blocks in these spots, barely edging the standard 0.5 line by 0.1 blocks. This marginal edge disappears when considering that blocks are binary events where small sample variance can dramatically impact results. The current five-game under streak indicates Jones may be experiencing fatigue-related positioning issues or facing offensive schemes that limit his shot-blocking opportunities. As a versatile defender who guards multiple positions, Jones often finds himself away from the rim on one day rest, prioritizing perimeter defense over help-side rim protection. The Pelicans' defensive scheme adjustments and Jones's expanded offensive role may also contribute to reduced defensive intensity in the paint. Without significant rest advantages, Jones struggles to maintain the explosive first-step and vertical leap necessary for consistent shot blocking.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 57.7% under rate and positive 10.1% ROI create a sustainable edge, especially with Jones currently on a five-game under streak. Target games where New Orleans faces pace-up opponents who pull Jones away from the rim defensively. Primary risk is small sample variance inherent in blocks props, where one explosive defensive sequence can flip the result.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Herbert Jones's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Herbert Jones has gone under his blocks prop in 15 of 26 games (57.7%) on one day rest, posting an 11-15-0 over/under record with a -19.2% ROI on overs and +10.1% ROI on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Herbert Jones Blocks 1 day rest?
Bet under on Herbert Jones blocks props with one day rest. The 57.7% under rate and positive ROI create a clear edge, especially during his current five-game under streak.
What's Herbert Jones's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Herbert Jones averages 0.62 blocks on one day rest compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating just a 0.1 block differential that favors slight over results but insufficient for profitable over betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Herbert Jones blocks unders when New Orleans plays on one day rest against pace-up teams that spread the floor, pulling Jones away from rim protection into perimeter defensive assignments.