Goga Bitadze shows modest value on rebounds with one day rest, hitting overs at a 53.8% clip (7-6-0) while averaging 8.31 rebounds against a 7.73 line. The +0.6 differential and positive ROI suggest a lean over despite the limited edge.
Expert Analysis
Bitadze's rebounding performance with one day rest reveals a player who benefits from adequate recovery time. The 8.31 average against a 7.73 line represents meaningful value, though the 53.8% over rate suggests books are reasonably well-calibrated on his rest-day performances. The +2.8% ROI on overs indicates sustainable profitability, while the -11.9% under ROI confirms the directional bias. What's particularly encouraging is the consistency of this edge across 13 games spanning multiple seasons, suggesting this isn't random variance but reflects Bitadze's physical recovery patterns. The center's rebounding prowess appears enhanced when his legs are fresh, likely improving his positioning and second-jump ability on the glass. However, the modest sample size and relatively thin edge mean this isn't a high-conviction play. The two-game over streak aligns with the broader trend but doesn't indicate any momentum shift. Orlando's pace and rebounding opportunities will ultimately determine ceiling outcomes, but Bitadze's individual performance with rest appears predictably above his typical baseline.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Bitadze's 8.31 average with one day rest consistently beats the 7.73 line, creating a sustainable +0.6 edge that translates to positive ROI. The 53.8% hit rate isn't overwhelming but reflects genuine value in a market where books struggle to perfectly price rest advantages. Target this when Orlando faces teams that generate rebounding opportunities through missed shots or up-tempo play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-27 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 11.5 | 11.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-23 | OPP | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 10.5 | 13.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-17 | OPP | 7.5 | 4.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Goga Bitadze's Rebounds prop record 1 day rest?
Bitadze is 7-6-0 over/under on rebounds props with one day rest across 13 games. This 53.8% over rate spans from November 2023 through March 2025, showing consistent performance above typical lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Goga Bitadze Rebounds 1 day rest?
Lean over on Bitadze rebounds with one day rest. His 8.31 average beats the typical 7.73 line by 0.6 rebounds, generating positive ROI. The edge isn't massive but it's consistent and profitable.
What's Goga Bitadze's average Rebounds 1 day rest?
Bitadze averages 8.31 rebounds with one day rest compared to his typical 7.73 line. This +0.6 differential represents meaningful value, especially for a center whose rebounding depends heavily on physical positioning and energy.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bitadze rebounds props when Orlando has one day rest against teams with higher pace or poor shooting percentages. These conditions maximize rebounding opportunities while his fresh legs provide optimal positioning advantage.