Gary Harris's three-pointers made prop shows marginal over value with a 53.8% hit rate across 13 games, averaging 1.54 makes against a 1.5 line. The minimal edge and poor under ROI (-11.9%) suggest slight over preference, though conviction remains low given the razor-thin differential.
Expert Analysis
Harris's three-point production sits in that frustrating middle ground where the numbers barely justify action either way. His 1.54 average against the 1.5 line represents just a 0.04 edge per game, essentially a coin flip with slight over bias. The 53.8% over rate translates to modest positive ROI (+2.8%) on overs while unders have been value destroyers at -11.9%. This suggests the market may be slightly undervaluing Harris's floor, but the edge is paper-thin. The Magic guard's role as a complementary shooter means his three-point volume fluctuates based on game flow and Orlando's offensive rhythm. Without splits data, we can't identify his strongest spots, making this a volume-based play rather than situational. The recent under streak of one game means nothing in this sample size, and his longest streaks in either direction maxed at just two games. Harris represents the type of prop where small edges exist but require perfect timing and bankroll management. The lack of clear patterns or exploitable situations makes this more about market inefficiency than predictable performance trends.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with LOW confidence. The 53.8% over rate and positive ROI create a slight mathematical edge, while the brutal -11.9% under ROI suggests the market consistently overprices Harris's downside. However, the microscopic 0.04 differential demands perfect execution and isn't suitable for casual betting. Only sharp bettors with proper bankroll management should consider the over, and only when other factors align favorably.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gary Harris's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Gary Harris has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 7 of 13 games (53.8%) while going under 6 times. His record shows a slight over bias but represents essentially a coin flip with minimal edge either direction.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gary Harris 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Harris's three-pointers made props, but only with proper bankroll management. The 53.8% over rate and positive ROI create a slight mathematical edge, though the margin is razor-thin and requires disciplined execution.
What's Gary Harris's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Harris averages 1.54 three-pointers made against the standard 1.5 line, creating just a 0.04 differential per game. This minimal edge explains why the over rate sits at only 53.8% rather than showing stronger bias.
How reliable is this trend?
Without situational splits available, timing Harris's three-point props relies purely on market inefficiency rather than game conditions. Focus on when the line moves to 1.5 with favorable juice rather than specific matchup spots.