Gary Harris has been an absolute blocks prop disaster, hitting over just once in his last 10 games (1-9-0, 10.0% over rate) while averaging 0.2 blocks against a 0.6 line. With nine straight unders and an -80.9% ROI on overs, this screams systematic under betting opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Gary Harris's blocks production has fallen off a statistical cliff, creating one of the most reliable under trends in the prop market. Averaging just 0.2 blocks per game against a 0.6 line represents a massive -0.4 differential that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to his reduced defensive impact or Orlando's system simply doesn't generate blocks for perimeter players. The 9-game under streak isn't fluky variance — it's systematic underperformance that likely stems from Harris playing more off-ball defensively or reduced minutes in competitive situations. At 29 years old, Harris may have lost the anticipation and lateral quickness needed to generate consistent deflections and blocks. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story: betting Harris to exceed his blocks line has been financial suicide. While regression toward the mean is always possible, the consistency of this underperformance suggests the line itself may be fundamentally mispriced. Orlando's pace and defensive scheme appear to limit Harris's opportunities for blocks, making this less about temporary poor form and more about structural reality. The sample size of 10 games provides enough data to identify a clear pattern without being so large that market correction becomes inevitable.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Harris's blocks production has been systematically below market expectations, creating a clear edge for under bettors. The ideal condition is any game where the 0.6 blocks line appears, especially in competitive matchups where Harris plays his normal role. The main risk is potential lineup changes or garbage time situations that could inflate his defensive opportunities, but the consistency of this trend suggests structural factors rather than temporary variance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gary Harris's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Gary Harris has gone 1-9-0 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of his over bets. He's currently riding a 9-game under streak with only one over during this brutal stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gary Harris Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Gary Harris blocks props. His 0.2 average against a 0.6 line creates a massive edge, supported by nine straight unders and -80.9% ROI on overs.
What's Gary Harris's average Blocks last 10 games?
Gary Harris is averaging 0.2 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, significantly below the typical 0.6 line for a -0.4 differential that heavily favors under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Gary Harris blocks unders in any standard rotation game where he's playing his normal defensive role. Avoid garbage time situations or games with unusual lineup circumstances that might inflate opportunities.