Duncan Robinson's blocks props present an exceptional under opportunity with just 1 over in 10 games (10.0% hit rate). Averaging 0.2 blocks against a 0.5 line creates a massive -0.3 differential, generating +71.8% ROI on unders. This is a premium fade spot with elite conviction.
Expert Analysis
Duncan Robinson's blocks production reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and basketball reality. The Miami forward has managed just 0.2 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, hitting the over once in a brutal 1-9-0 record that screams systematic mispricing. Robinson's role as a floor-spacing shooter keeps him positioned on the perimeter, far from rim-protection opportunities that generate blocks. His 6'7" frame and defensive responsibilities focus on chasing shooters through screens rather than challenging shots at the basket. The -0.3 differential between his production and the standard 0.5 line represents one of the largest gaps we track, suggesting books haven't adjusted to his limited shot-blocking reality. Robinson's current four-game under streak extends a pattern rooted in his fundamental basketball identity. Unlike versatile forwards who rotate into help defense, Robinson's value comes from spacing the floor and switching on perimeter assignments. Miami's defensive scheme rarely asks him to protect the rim, instead utilizing him as a chase defender against opposing shooters. The 10.0% over rate isn't an aberration—it's a reflection of his actual role within Miami's system. This trend shows remarkable persistence because it's built on Robinson's unchanging responsibilities rather than temporary form or matchup-driven factors.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Robinson's 0.2 blocks per game against a 0.5 line creates an elite betting edge rooted in role-based fundamentals rather than temporary variance. The 1-9-0 record reflects his perimeter-focused defensive responsibilities that rarely generate shot-blocking opportunities. Target this prop consistently, especially when the line stays at 0.5, as Robinson's floor-spacing role makes blocks production inherently unlikely regardless of opponent or game script.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Duncan Robinson's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Robinson went 1-9-0 over/under on blocks props in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs. He averaged 0.2 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line, creating a significant -0.3 differential that favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Duncan Robinson Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Robinson's blocks props with high confidence. His 1-9-0 record and 0.2 average against a 0.5 line create an exceptional edge. His perimeter-focused role makes blocks unlikely regardless of matchup or game situation.
What's Duncan Robinson's average Blocks last 10 games?
Robinson averaged 0.2 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, well below the standard 0.5 line. This -0.3 differential represents one of the largest gaps between production and market expectations we track for blocks props.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Robinson's blocks unders consistently when the line stays at 0.5, regardless of opponent. His floor-spacing role creates persistent value. Avoid when books drop the line to 0.5 alternative markets that reduce edge significantly.