Donte DiVincenzo's home assists props present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 47.4% of the time with a brutal five-game under streak currently active. The Knicks guard averages 3.16 assists at Madison Square Garden against a typical 2.92 line, but the over's -9.6% ROI tells the real story. Lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
DiVincenzo's home assist struggles stem from the Knicks' offensive hierarchy and pace dynamics at Madison Square Garden. Despite averaging slightly above the typical line, the 47.4% over rate reveals consistent underperformance when it matters most. The current five-game under streak isn't random variance—it reflects DiVincenzo's secondary playmaking role behind Jalen Brunson and the team's tendency to slow down in familiar surroundings. Home games often see the Knicks lean more heavily on their primary ball-handlers, leaving DiVincenzo to focus on his shooting and off-ball movement rather than creating for others. The -9.6% ROI on overs demonstrates that books haven't fully adjusted to this pattern, creating sustained value on the under. While DiVincenzo possesses solid court vision, his assist opportunities diminish when the Knicks execute their half-court sets more deliberately at home. The absence of split data actually strengthens this play—it suggests this is a consistent pattern rather than situational variance. With 19 games providing adequate sample size, this trend shows remarkable persistence that sharp bettors should exploit.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of a 47.4% over rate, negative ROI on overs, and active five-game under streak creates compelling value. DiVincenzo's role as a secondary playmaker becomes more pronounced at home where the Knicks rely on structured offense. Target this when the line sits at 3.0 or higher, as his 3.16 average barely exceeds typical numbers. Main risk is a potential role expansion if Brunson sits.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Donte DiVincenzo's Assists prop record home games?
DiVincenzo's home assists props have gone over just 9 times in 19 games (47.4% rate) with 10 unders. He's currently on a five-game under streak, his longest of the season, while averaging 3.16 assists per home game.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Donte DiVincenzo Assists home games?
Bet the under on DiVincenzo's home assists props. The 47.4% over rate and -9.6% ROI on overs create clear value, especially during his current five-game under streak. Target lines at 3.0 or higher for maximum edge.
What's Donte DiVincenzo's average Assists home games?
DiVincenzo averages 3.16 assists in home games, just 0.24 above the typical 2.92 line. Despite this slight edge, overs hit only 47.4% of the time, indicating he frequently falls short when books set higher numbers.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DiVincenzo assists unders in home games when the line reaches 3.0 or higher. Avoid when Brunson is questionable, as DiVincenzo's playmaking role expands significantly. Best value comes during his current under streaks when books remain stubborn.