The under has been the play for Donovan Mahomes on Steals props all games. In 183 games, he's gone OVER just 25.0% of the time, averaging 0.69 against a 1.13 line. That's -0.45 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 43-129-11 O/U

25.0% Over Rate
0.69 Avg STL
1.13 Avg Line
-0.5 Avg vs Line
-52.3% Over ROI
183 Games
OVER 25.0%
UNDER 75.0%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 20.5% Over (16-62)
Away 28.7% Over (27-67)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 0.5 0% Over
Line > 0.5 25.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over (3-2)
Last 10 33.3% Over (3-6)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Donovan Mahomes Steals

The UNDER has returned +43.2% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Donovan Mahomes's Steals prop record all games?

Donovan Mahomes has gone OVER on steals props in 43 of 183 games (25.0%) all games. The full O/U record is 43-129-11.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Donovan Mahomes Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -52.3% ROI while the UNDER has returned +43.2% ROI in this spot.

What's Donovan Mahomes's average Steals all games?

Donovan Mahomes averages 0.69 steals all games, compared to an average prop line of 1.13. That's a differential of -0.5 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Donovan Mahomes?

This trend is based on 183 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-14.

Methodology

This analysis covers 183 games from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-14. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026