Donovan Mahomes's Points props all games have been a mixed bag. In 183 games, he's hit the over 53.5% of the time, averaging 17.29 against a 17.19 line. The +0.1 differential suggests no strong lean either way— look for additional edges before betting this spot.

The Numbers: 92-80-11 O/U

53.5% Over Rate
17.29 Avg PTS
17.19 Avg Line
+0.1 Avg vs Line
+2.1% Over ROI
183 Games
OVER 53.5%
UNDER 46.5%
⚖️ Verdict: Coin Flip

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 61.3% Over (49-31)
Away 46.7% Over (43-49)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 16.5 70.7% Over
Line > 16.5 37.8% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over (2-3)
Last 10 50.0% Over (5-5)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📊 No Clear Edge Here

This prop is close to a coin flip. Look for line value or combine with other factors.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Donovan Mahomes's Points prop record all games?

Donovan Mahomes has gone OVER on points props in 92 of 183 games (53.5%) all games. The full O/U record is 92-80-11.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Donovan Mahomes Points?

Based on historical data, the OVER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned +2.1% ROI while the UNDER has returned -11.2% ROI in this spot.

What's Donovan Mahomes's average Points all games?

Donovan Mahomes averages 17.29 points all games, compared to an average prop line of 17.19. That's a differential of +0.1 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Donovan Mahomes?

This trend is based on 183 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-14.

Methodology

This analysis covers 183 games from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-14. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026