Brooks shows a meaningful edge on three-pointers with one day rest, hitting overs at a 53.5% clip across 43 games with a solid +0.4 average differential above typical lines. The 23-20 over record translates to modest but positive ROI, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
The 53.5% over rate on Brooks' three-point props with one day rest reveals a player who benefits from optimal recovery time. His 1.91 average significantly outpaces the typical 1.52 line, suggesting books consistently undervalue his shooting when properly rested. This differential makes sense given Brooks' role as Houston's primary perimeter defender - the physical demands of guarding elite wings require adequate recovery to maintain shooting mechanics. The +2.1% ROI on overs, while modest, indicates sustainable value over time. However, the -11.2% under ROI shows books have adjusted somewhat, making line shopping crucial. Brooks' streaky nature (longest runs of 5 overs and 4 unders) suggests variance remains high despite the overall trend. The current single-game under streak isn't concerning given his historical bounce-back ability. What's most compelling is the consistency - across 43 games spanning the full season, this rest advantage has persisted. The lack of dramatic splits suggests this isn't matchup-dependent but rather a pure rest-versus-fatigue play. Brooks shoots with more confidence and better form when his legs are fresh, and one day rest appears to be the sweet spot for his three-point production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 53.5% hit rate and +0.4 average differential provide legitimate value, especially when lines hover around 1.5. Target games where Brooks faces average or worse perimeter defenses to maximize the rest advantage. Main risk is his inherent streakiness and the modest ROI suggesting books are slowly adjusting to this trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dillon Brooks's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Brooks has gone over his three-pointers made prop 23 times and under 20 times with one day rest, posting a 53.5% over rate across 43 games from October 2023 through April 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dillon Brooks 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Brooks' three-pointers made with one day rest. The 53.5% over rate and +0.4 average differential above lines provide modest but consistent value, especially against weaker perimeter defenses.
What's Dillon Brooks's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Brooks averages 1.91 three-pointers made with one day rest, significantly above the typical 1.52 line. This +0.4 differential suggests books consistently undervalue his shooting when properly rested.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Brooks' three-point overs with one day rest against average or poor perimeter defenses. Avoid after his hottest streaks due to natural regression, and always shop for the best line given modest ROI.