Dillon Brooks presents a marginal edge on three-pointers made props with a 50.8% over rate across 65 games, averaging 1.77 makes against a 1.52 line. The +0.25 differential suggests consistent value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates market efficiency. Lean over in favorable matchups.
Expert Analysis
Brooks's three-point prop reveals a player whose shooting volume consistently exceeds market expectations, even if profitability remains elusive. The 1.77 average against a 1.52 line represents meaningful separation, suggesting books may undervalue his attempts in Houston's system. As a defensive specialist who's carved out an offensive role, Brooks benefits from the Rockets' pace and spacing, creating open looks that inflate his attempt rate beyond what his career percentages might suggest. The 50.8% over rate indicates books haven't fully adjusted to his increased three-point responsibility in Houston's offense. However, the negative ROI on both sides reveals sharp money has identified this edge, creating efficient pricing that limits profit margins. Brooks's streaky nature—evidenced by longest runs of four overs and five unders—suggests variance plays a significant role in outcomes. His defensive energy often correlates with offensive confidence, making game flow and matchup pace crucial factors. The lack of dramatic splits indicates consistent role and usage, which strengthens the reliability of the average differential. Books appear slow to adjust his lines based on Houston's system demands versus his historical shooting patterns.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.25 differential between Brooks's 1.77 average and 1.52 line provides consistent theoretical value, supported by his expanded role in Houston's system. Target games against faster-paced opponents or when Houston needs perimeter shooting. Main risk is the negative ROI indicating sharp money has identified this edge, creating efficient markets that limit actual profit despite the statistical advantage.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dillon Brooks's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Brooks went over his three-pointers made prop in 33 of 65 games (50.8%) with a 33-32-0 record. He averaged 1.77 makes against a 1.52 average line, creating a +0.25 differential that suggests consistent theoretical value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dillon Brooks 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Brooks's three-pointers made props. The +0.25 average differential provides edge, though negative ROI indicates efficient markets. Target favorable pace matchups and avoid after extended over streaks given his variance patterns.
What's Dillon Brooks's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Brooks averaged 1.77 three-pointers made across 65 games against an average line of 1.52. This +0.25 differential represents meaningful separation, suggesting books undervalue his increased three-point responsibility in Houston's offensive system.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Brooks three-point overs against faster-paced teams or when Houston faces defensive schemes requiring perimeter shooting. Avoid betting after extended streaks in either direction due to his high variance shooting patterns.