Dillon Brooks delivers exceptional steal prop value with a 56.9% over rate (29-22 record) and +0.3 average differential above the 0.5 line. The +8.6% ROI on overs reflects consistent defensive pressure that books struggle to properly price. Strong lean over on Brooks steal props.
Expert Analysis
Brooks's steal prop dominance stems from his relentless defensive intensity and opportunistic positioning. His 0.84 average significantly outpaces the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value for over bettors. The +8.6% ROI on overs demonstrates this isn't random variance but a systematic mispricing of Brooks's defensive impact. His aggressive ball-hawking style generates deflections that turn into steals, particularly against turnover-prone opponents. The 56.9% over rate across 51 games provides substantial sample size confidence. Brooks thrives in uptempo games where more possessions create additional steal opportunities. His defensive motor rarely takes plays off, making him one of the more reliable steal prop targets in the league. The longest over streak of four games shows his ability to sustain hot defensive stretches. However, the -17.6% under ROI warns against fading this trend. Brooks's steal production correlates strongly with his minutes and defensive assignments, making game script crucial for prop evaluation.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Brooks's 0.84 average against 0.5 lines creates consistent mathematical edge, supported by 56.9% over rate and positive ROI. Target games with faster pace or turnover-heavy opponents where his aggressive defense can capitalize on additional opportunities. Main risk involves blowout scenarios limiting his minutes in competitive fourth quarters.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dillon Brooks's Steals prop record all games?
Brooks posts a 29-22 over record (56.9%) on steal props across 51 games, with his 0.84 average consistently beating the typical 0.5 line by +0.3 steals per game.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dillon Brooks Steals all games?
Lean over on Brooks steal props. His 56.9% over rate and +8.6% ROI reflect systematic undervaluation of his defensive intensity and ball-hawking ability by sportsbooks.
What's Dillon Brooks's average Steals all games?
Brooks averages 0.84 steals per game, significantly outpacing the standard 0.5 line by +0.3. This differential creates consistent mathematical edge for over bettors across his 51-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Brooks steal overs in uptempo games against turnover-prone teams. His aggressive defensive style thrives with more possessions and vulnerable ball-handlers to pressure throughout the game.