Dillon Brooks has been a blocks desert over his last 10 games, going under the 0.5 line at a staggering 90% clip with just one over. The Houston wing is averaging only 0.2 blocks per game against a 0.5 line, creating a massive -0.3 differential that screams systematic under value.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a crystal clear picture of Dillon Brooks's defensive impact limitations in Houston's system. Averaging just 0.2 blocks per game over this 10-game stretch, Brooks is falling short of the 0.5 line by a significant margin that suggests more than random variance. As primarily a perimeter defender focused on pressuring ball handlers, Brooks rarely finds himself in rim protection situations where blocks naturally occur. Houston's defensive scheme emphasizes switching and help defense rather than individual shot blocking, further limiting Brooks's opportunities. The current seven-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather reflects his true role and positioning on defense. Brooks's 6'7" frame and wing responsibilities keep him away from the paint where blocks happen most frequently. Unlike traditional shot blockers who patrol the lane, Brooks operates on the perimeter, making steals more likely than blocks. The consistency of this trend across 10 games, with only one outlier over performance, suggests this isn't a temporary slump but rather a reflection of his actual defensive impact profile in Houston's system.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 90% under rate over 10 games combined with Brooks's perimeter-focused defensive role creates exceptional value on the under. His 0.2 blocks per game average sits well below the 0.5 line, and Houston's defensive system doesn't generate blocks opportunities for wings. The primary risk is a rare help defense situation leading to a blocked shot, but Brooks's consistent role makes this unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dillon Brooks's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Dillon Brooks has gone 1-9-0 on his blocks over/under in his last 10 games, hitting the over just once while going under nine times. This represents a 10% over rate with the under cashing 90% of the time.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dillon Brooks Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under on Dillon Brooks blocks props. His 90% under rate over 10 games and 0.2 blocks per game average well below typical 0.5 lines create exceptional value on the under side.
What's Dillon Brooks's average Blocks last 10 games?
Dillon Brooks is averaging 0.2 blocks per game over his last 10 games, which is 0.3 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This significant differential explains his 90% under rate during this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Brooks blocks unders when he's matched up against perimeter-heavy opponents and Houston is playing switching defense. Avoid when facing teams with dominant post players that might force more help defense situations.