Devin Vassell has been ice-cold from beyond the arc, hitting the over just 30% of the time over his last 10 games with a brutal -0.9 differential versus his 2.5 line. Currently riding a three-game under streak, the numbers scream UNDER.
Expert Analysis
Vassell's three-point struggles represent a significant departure from his season expectations, averaging just 1.6 makes against a 2.5 line that suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his recent cold spell. The -42.7% ROI on overs tells the story of a player whose shot selection or mechanics have gone awry, while under bettors have been rewarded with a healthy +33.6% return. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency of the underperformance - this isn't just a few outlier games dragging down the average. The fact that Vassell has managed just three overs in 10 games suggests either a confidence issue, defensive adjustments by opponents, or potentially an undisclosed minor injury affecting his shooting stroke. His current three-game under streak, matching his longest of this sample, indicates the trend may be accelerating rather than showing signs of positive regression. The lack of split data prevents us from identifying specific situational advantages, but the raw numbers are stark enough to warrant serious consideration. With books potentially slow to adjust lines downward, this creates a window where the under continues to offer value until either Vassell's shot returns or oddsmakers properly recalibrate their expectations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Vassell's 1.6 average against a 2.5 line creates clear mathematical value, especially with his current three-game under streak suggesting continued struggles. The ideal spot is when books maintain the 2.5 line despite this obvious cold spell. Main risk is positive regression to his season norms, but the consistency of this underperformance indicates deeper issues than simple variance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Vassell's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Vassell has gone 3-7-0 on his three-pointers made over/under in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. He's averaging 1.6 makes against a typical 2.5 line, creating a -0.9 differential that strongly favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Vassell 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Vassell's three-pointers made props. His 1.6 average vs 2.5 line creates clear value, supported by a 70% under rate and +33.6% ROI for under bettors over this 10-game sample.
What's Devin Vassell's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Vassell is averaging just 1.6 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, nearly a full make below his typical 2.5 line. This -0.9 differential represents significant underperformance that books haven't fully accounted for in their pricing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Vassell three-point unders when books maintain the 2.5 line despite his recent cold spell. His current three-game under streak and 70% under rate over 10 games suggest continued value until positive regression or line adjustments occur.