Devin Booker's three-point production has collapsed over his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time while averaging 2.0 makes against a 2.5 line. With four consecutive unders and a brutal -42.7% ROI on overs, the under presents compelling value.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's three-point struggles represent more than variance — they signal a fundamental shift in his offensive approach. Averaging just 2.0 makes per game against a 2.5 line creates a significant half-point cushion that has proven decisive in this sample. The 30% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted to Booker's declining volume from deep, likely still pricing based on his season-long averages rather than this recent downturn. The four-game under streak indicates persistence rather than random clustering, suggesting either a strategic shift toward driving and mid-range work or potentially lingering effects from injury management. What makes this trend particularly exploitable is the consistency — Booker hasn't shown the explosive three-point games that typically break these patterns. His role as the Suns' primary offensive creator often pulls him away from catch-and-shoot opportunities, forcing more difficult contested looks. The -0.5 differential between his average and the line represents exactly the type of market inefficiency that creates sustainable edges. While regression toward career norms remains possible, the sample size and consistency suggest this represents a legitimate shift in offensive usage rather than temporary shooting woes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Booker's consistent inability to reach 2.5 makes, combined with the half-point line differential, creates a sustainable edge. The four-game under streak and 70% under rate suggest books are slow to adjust. Target games where Phoenix faces strong perimeter defense or when Booker's usage skews toward playmaking. Primary risk is a variance correction game where he connects on contested attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Devin Booker has gone 3-7-0 over/under on his three-pointers made prop in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. He's currently on a four-game under streak, his longest of this sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Devin Booker's three-pointers made props. His 70% under rate and -0.5 average differential from the line create a clear edge, especially with his current four-game under streak showing no signs of breaking.
What's Devin Booker's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Devin Booker is averaging 2.0 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, sitting 0.5 makes below the typical 2.5 line. This half-point cushion has been the difference in most of his recent unders.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Booker's three-point unders when Phoenix faces elite perimeter defenses or in games where his playmaking responsibilities increase. Avoid when the Suns are significant underdogs and likely to be chasing points from deep.