Fade UNDER
21-44 O/U Record
32.3% Over Rate
-24.9u Units Won
-38.3% ROI
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Devin Booker's three-pointers made prop shows a massive under bias with just 32.3% overs across 65 games, averaging 2.23 makes against a 2.41 line. The under delivers exceptional +29.2% ROI while overs hemorrhage -38.3%, creating a clear systematic edge favoring the under.

Expert Analysis

Devin Booker's three-point prop represents one of the most reliable under plays in the NBA, with books consistently overvaluing his long-range output. The 2.23 average against a 2.41 line reveals an 0.18-make gap that compounds over time, suggesting oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted to Booker's actual three-point volume versus his reputation as an elite scorer. This isn't about shooting percentage but pure attempt rate and role within Phoenix's offense. Booker operates primarily as a mid-range assassin and playmaker, with three-pointers often coming as secondary options rather than primary looks. The current four-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern, where he's hit seven consecutive unders at his longest stretch. The 21-44 over/under record isn't random variance but reflects a fundamental disconnect between perception and reality. Books appear to price Booker's three-point props based on his overall scoring ability rather than his specific shot distribution, creating sustainable value for under bettors. The -38.3% ROI on overs indicates this isn't a recent development but a persistent market inefficiency that sharp bettors can exploit consistently.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 32.3% over rate and +29.2% under ROI represent exceptional value that transcends normal variance. Booker's role as a mid-range specialist rather than volume three-point shooter creates a systematic edge the market hasn't corrected. The ideal play is consistent under betting regardless of matchup, as this appears to be a fundamental pricing error rather than situational advantage.

21 OVERS (32.3%)
44 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-30 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-03-09 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2025-02-25 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2025-02-11 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-12-13 OPP 2.5 6.0 +3.5 OVER
2024-12-07 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-11-15 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-14 OPP 2.5 3.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-12 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-10 OPP 2.5 5.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-04-09 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-05 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-04-03 OPP 2.5 5.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-04-01 OPP 2.5 8.0 +5.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 28.6% Over
Away 35.1% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Devin Booker's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?

Devin Booker's three-pointers made prop shows a 21-44-0 over/under record across 65 games, hitting just 32.3% overs. He averages 2.23 makes against a typical 2.41 line, creating consistent under value.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker 3-Pointers Made all games?

Bet the under on Devin Booker's three-pointers made props. The 68% under rate and +29.2% ROI provide exceptional value, while overs lose -38.3%. This represents a systematic market inefficiency favoring consistent under betting.

What's Devin Booker's average 3-Pointers Made all games?

Devin Booker averages 2.23 three-pointers made per game against a 2.41 line, creating a -0.18 differential. This gap consistently favors under bettors, as he falls short of the posted number in over two-thirds of games.

How reliable is this trend?

Bet Devin Booker three-pointers made unders consistently regardless of matchup. The 32.3% over rate suggests this is a systematic pricing error rather than situational edge, making every game an opportunity for under value.

Methodology: This analysis covers 65 games from 2023-10-24 to 2025-03-30. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.