Devin Booker's blocks prop at home presents a clear under opportunity with just 29.2% overs across 24 games. His 0.29 average sits significantly below the typical 0.5 line, generating +35.2% ROI on unders. The current seven-game under streak reinforces this exploitable edge.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's blocks production at home reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. Averaging just 0.29 blocks per home game against a standard 0.5 line, Booker consistently falls short of oddsmakers' projections. This isn't variance—it's structural. As a perimeter-oriented guard who rarely ventures into shot-blocking territory, Booker's defensive impact comes through steals and deflections rather than blocks. The home environment doesn't enhance his shot-blocking frequency; if anything, comfortable home settings may reduce his defensive urgency. The seven-game under streak isn't an aberration but rather confirmation of his limited blocking upside. Guards averaging under 0.3 blocks rarely experience meaningful positive regression, especially when their role doesn't demand rim protection. The 44.3% loss rate on overs tells the story—betting Booker to exceed 0.5 blocks at home fights both his natural game and statistical reality. His offensive responsibilities as Phoenix's primary scorer further limit energy allocation to defensive gambles that might yield blocks.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Devin Booker's home blocks under represents one of the market's clearest structural inefficiencies. His 0.29 average creates a massive cushion below the 0.5 line, while seven consecutive unders demonstrate consistency rather than bad luck. Target this prop when the line sits at 0.5, as Booker's perimeter-focused game rarely generates the rim protection needed for blocks. The primary risk is an unusually aggressive defensive game plan, but his offensive workload makes sustained shot-blocking unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Blocks prop record home games?
Devin Booker's blocks prop record at home games stands at 7-17-0 over/under, hitting the over just 29.2% of the time across 24 games. This represents one of the most lopsided prop records available.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Blocks home games?
Bet UNDER on Devin Booker's blocks at home games with high confidence. His 0.29 average sits well below the typical 0.5 line, and the current seven-game under streak confirms this edge remains exploitable.
What's Devin Booker's average Blocks home games?
Devin Booker averages 0.29 blocks per home game, which falls 0.21 short of the standard 0.5 line. This significant gap explains why unders have generated +35.2% ROI over the sample period.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Devin Booker blocks unders when the line sits at 0.5 and he's playing at home. Avoid when facing teams with limited size or when Phoenix trails significantly, as garbage time might create unusual blocking opportunities.