Fade UNDER
12-16 O/U Record
42.9% Over Rate
-5.1u Units Won
-18.2% ROI
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Devin Booker's blocks prop shows clear under value in away games, hitting just 42.9% overs with a -18.2% ROI on over bets. The guard averages 0.61 blocks against a 0.5 line, but the under delivers consistent profits at +9.1% ROI across 28 games.

Expert Analysis

Devin Booker's blocks production reveals a fascinating disconnect between average performance and betting outcomes in road environments. While his 0.61 average suggests the over should hit regularly against the standard 0.5 line, the reality tells a different story with unders cashing 57.1% of the time. This pattern reflects the volatile nature of blocks as a counting stat, where Booker can record multiple blocks in one sequence or go entire games without registering any defensive disruption. The guard's offensive-minded approach becomes even more pronounced on the road, where Phoenix often faces hostile environments that demand greater focus on scoring responsibilities. Road games typically feature different defensive rotations and positioning as teams adjust to unfamiliar surroundings, potentially limiting Booker's opportunistic block chances. The current two-game under streak aligns with the broader trend, though his longest over streak of four games shows this prop can cluster in either direction. The negative ROI on overs (-18.2%) combined with profitable under betting (+9.1%) suggests the market consistently overvalues Booker's block potential away from home, creating a sustainable edge for disciplined under bettors who recognize that guard blocks remain inherently unpredictable regardless of averages.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 57.1% under rate combined with +9.1% ROI creates legitimate value despite Booker averaging above the line. Road environments limit his defensive opportunities while emphasizing offensive duties, making the volatile blocks prop even more unpredictable. Target this when the line stays at 0.5, as the market appears to overweight his average production.

12 OVERS (42.9%)
16 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-12 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-10 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-01 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-25 OPP 0.5 3.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-03-23 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-11 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-23 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-22 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-10 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-04 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-02 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 42.9% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over
Last 10 40.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Devin Booker's Blocks prop record away games?

Devin Booker's blocks prop record in away games stands at 12-16-0 over/under, meaning unders have hit 57.1% of the time across 28 road contests. This translates to a profitable +9.1% ROI for under bettors while overs show a -18.2% loss rate.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Blocks away games?

Bet under on Devin Booker's blocks in away games. The 57.1% under rate with +9.1% ROI shows clear value despite his 0.61 average exceeding the typical 0.5 line. Road environments limit his defensive opportunities while emphasizing offensive responsibilities.

What's Devin Booker's average Blocks away games?

Devin Booker averages 0.61 blocks per game in away contests, which sits 0.1 above the standard 0.5 line. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to over success, as the prop hits under 57.1% of the time due to blocks' inherently volatile nature.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Devin Booker blocks unders when Phoenix plays road games against teams that emphasize pace and ball movement. The combination of unfamiliar environments, increased offensive focus, and the prop's natural volatility creates the strongest edge for under betting at 0.5.

Methodology: This analysis covers 28 games from 2023-11-26 to 2024-04-14. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.