Devin Booker's assists prop shows marginal value on extended rest, hitting overs at a 53.3% clip (8-7 record) with a +0.4 average differential above typical lines. The current five-game over streak suggests short-term momentum, making this a lean over situation with measured expectations.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's playmaking consistency with 2+ days rest reveals a player who benefits from the mental and physical reset that extended recovery provides. The 7.0 assist average against a 6.57 baseline represents meaningful upside, though the 53.3% over rate indicates this edge isn't dramatic enough for aggressive betting. The +1.8% ROI on overs versus -10.9% on unders tells the real story — books may be slightly undervaluing Booker's facilitation when he's well-rested. Extended rest typically allows guards to process the game more clearly and make better passing decisions, particularly in Phoenix's pace-and-space system that rewards patient playmaking. The current five-game over streak aligns with this theory, as Booker appears to be hitting his stride as a distributor when given proper recovery time. However, the modest sample size of 15 games demands caution, and regression toward the mean remains possible. The lack of dramatic splits data suggests this trend isn't condition-specific, making it more about Booker's natural rhythm than situational exploitation.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of positive average differential (+0.4), favorable ROI on overs, and current momentum creates modest value. Target this prop when Booker has exactly 2-3 days rest and Phoenix faces teams that push pace or struggle defending pick-and-roll actions. The main risk is the relatively small edge and potential for variance in a 15-game sample.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-14 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-12 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 8.5 | 7.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-15 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Assists prop record 2+ days rest?
Devin Booker's assists prop with 2+ days rest shows an 8-7 over/under record (53.3% overs) across 15 games from November 2023 to February 2025, indicating slight over value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Assists 2+ days rest?
Lean over on Booker's assists with extended rest. The +0.4 average differential above lines and positive over ROI create modest value, especially during his current five-game over streak.
What's Devin Booker's average Assists 2+ days rest?
Booker averages 7.0 assists with 2+ days rest compared to a typical 6.57 line, creating a +0.4 differential that represents meaningful upside for over bettors in this situation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Booker assists props when he has exactly 2-3 days rest against pace-pushing teams or poor pick-and-roll defenses, as extended recovery enhances his court vision and playmaking decisions.