Devin Booker's assists prop presents a marginal edge with 52.3% overs hitting across 65 games, though the +0.2 differential above his typical line suggests minimal value. The near-break-even ROI and current two-game under streak indicate a relatively efficient market with slight lean toward overs.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's assists production has been remarkably consistent this season, averaging 6.82 assists against lines typically set around 6.61. The 52.3% over rate reflects his evolution as Phoenix's primary facilitator, particularly when the Suns face uptempo opponents or when traditional point guard duties fall squarely on his shoulders. The modest +0.2 differential suggests books have largely adjusted to his increased playmaking role, making this a tighter market than his scoring props. The near-zero ROI on overs (-0.1%) indicates sharp money has already identified value, while the -8.9% under ROI suggests recreational bettors consistently underestimate Booker's distribution. His current two-game under streak follows a pattern of brief regression periods that typically correct toward his season average. The lack of significant splits data suggests his assists production remains relatively stable across different game situations, unlike volume scorers who see dramatic variance. This consistency actually works against bettors seeking exploitable edges, as the market has efficiently priced his playmaking output. The four-game ceiling on both over and under streaks indicates mean reversion tendencies that limit extended runs in either direction.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with LOW confidence. The 52.3% hit rate combined with books still setting lines slightly below Booker's season average creates marginal value on overs. However, the efficient market pricing and minimal ROI suggest this edge is razor-thin. Target overs when facing pace-up spots or when Phoenix's secondary playmakers are questionable, but avoid heavy investment given the tight margins and current under streak.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | OPP | 7.5 | 3.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-25 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-15 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 7.5 | 4.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 6.5 | 13.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Assists prop record all games?
Devin Booker has gone over his assists prop 34 times and under 31 times across 65 games this season, producing a 52.3% over rate with no pushes recorded.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Assists all games?
Lean toward betting overs on Devin Booker's assists props. The 52.3% hit rate and +0.2 average differential provide slight mathematical edge, though margins are thin in this efficient market.
What's Devin Booker's average Assists all games?
Devin Booker averages 6.82 assists per game this season, running 0.2 assists above his typical prop line of 6.61, indicating consistent production slightly exceeding market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Devin Booker assists overs when Phoenix faces pace-up matchups or when secondary facilitators are unavailable. Avoid betting during his brief under streaks as mean reversion typically follows quickly.