Desmond Bane shows a notable edge on three-pointers made props with one day of rest, hitting the over at a 56.5% clip across 23 games. His 3.35 average consistently beats the typical 3.15 line by 0.2 makes per game. The data supports a lean over approach.
Expert Analysis
Desmond Bane's three-point production with one day of rest reveals a player who thrives on the perfect balance of recovery and rhythm maintenance. His 56.5% over rate isn't just statistical noise—it reflects how Bane's shooting mechanics and confidence benefit from adequate rest without losing his shooting touch. The +0.2 differential between his 3.35 average and the standard 3.15 line indicates sportsbooks haven't fully adjusted to this pattern. Bane's current five-game over streak demonstrates the sustainability of this trend, suggesting his body responds well to the one-day rest protocol. The Memphis offense often runs through Bane's perimeter shooting, and with proper rest, he's more likely to attempt and convert the volume of threes needed to clear typical props. The 7.9% ROI on overs validates this as a profitable long-term approach. However, the -17.0% under ROI warns against contrarian plays. The key risk lies in potential load management or blowout scenarios that could limit Bane's minutes, but the consistency of this 23-game sample suggests those situations are outliers rather than the norm.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Bane's 56.5% over rate with one day rest creates a sustainable edge, particularly when the line sits at 3.5 or lower. The five-game over streak and consistent 0.2 average differential above market lines support continued over plays. Main risk is potential rest games or early blowouts limiting his attempts, but the sample size validates this as a profitable trend worth following.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Desmond Bane's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Desmond Bane has gone over his three-pointers made prop 13 times and under 10 times with one day of rest, posting a 56.5% over rate across 23 games. This 13-10-0 record shows consistent value on the over side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Desmond Bane 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Desmond Bane's three-pointers made with one day of rest. His 56.5% over rate and 3.35 average that beats typical 3.15 lines create a profitable edge, especially during his current five-game over streak.
What's Desmond Bane's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Desmond Bane averages 3.35 three-pointers made with one day of rest, which is 0.2 makes above the typical 3.15 line. This consistent differential of +0.2 per game demonstrates why the over hits 56.5% of the time.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Desmond Bane three-pointers made props when he has exactly one day of rest and the line is 3.5 or lower. Avoid back-to-back games or extended rest periods where his rhythm might be affected.