Derrick White shows a profitable 55.9% over rate (19-15) on three-pointers made with one day rest, averaging 3.24 makes against a 2.74 line for a +0.5 edge. The 6.7% ROI on overs across 34 games suggests consistent value, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
The 55.9% over rate on Derrick White's three-point prop with one day rest reflects the optimal recovery window for his shooting rhythm. One day provides enough rest to maintain fresh legs for his spot-up opportunities while keeping him in game flow, unlike back-to-backs where fatigue impacts shot selection or extended rest where timing can suffer. White's 3.24 average against the 2.74 line creates a meaningful 0.5 make differential that compounds over time. The 6.7% ROI on overs demonstrates this isn't random variance but a sustainable edge rooted in Boston's offensive system. With one day rest, White typically sees increased catch-and-shoot opportunities as the Celtics' pace remains optimal and his role as a complementary shooter is maximized. The Celtics' three-point heavy offense benefits from White being fresh enough to move effectively off screens while not being rusty from extended time off. However, the 15.8% negative ROI on unders shows books have likely adjusted somewhat, and the current one-game under streak suggests some recent regression. The key risk is that this sample spans multiple seasons where White's role and the team's offensive philosophy may have evolved, potentially making older data less predictive.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.5 make advantage over the typical line combined with the 55.9% hit rate provides sustainable value in White's three-point props with one day rest. Target this spot when Boston faces pace-up matchups or teams that struggle defending the three-point line. The main risk is books potentially adjusting lines higher based on this trend, reducing the edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Derrick White's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Derrick White has gone over his three-pointers made prop 19 times and under 15 times with one day rest, posting a 55.9% over rate across 34 games. This translates to a profitable 6.7% ROI on over bets in this specific rest situation.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Derrick White 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Derrick White's three-pointers made with one day rest. His 3.24 average significantly exceeds the typical 2.74 line, and the 55.9% hit rate with positive ROI demonstrates consistent value in this spot.
What's Derrick White's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Derrick White averages 3.24 three-pointers made with one day rest compared to his typical line of 2.74. This 0.5 make differential represents a meaningful edge that has produced profitable results over a 34-game sample size.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Derrick White's three-point props when Boston has exactly one day rest, especially against pace-up opponents or teams weak defending the arc. Avoid back-to-back situations or after extended rest periods where his timing and opportunities typically decrease.