Dennis Schröder's assist props present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 40% of overs across his last 10 games while averaging 5.6 assists against a 6.1 line. The -0.5 differential and strong 14.6% ROI on unders signal consistent value on the downside.
Expert Analysis
Schröder's assist production has been consistently underwhelming relative to market expectations, creating a systematic edge for under bettors. The 5.6 average against a 6.1 line represents meaningful separation that suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his current role within Detroit's system. This isn't a small sample fluke - the -23.6% ROI on overs indicates sharp money has been consistently wrong on the high side, while under backers have profited at a healthy 14.6% clip. The persistence of this trend through 10 games suggests structural factors at play rather than random variance. Detroit's pace and offensive system appear to be limiting Schröder's playmaking opportunities compared to his career norms. The German guard's current usage pattern shows he's more focused on scoring than pure facilitation, which aligns with the consistent shortfall in assist production. With books seemingly slow to adjust the line downward, this creates ongoing value for disciplined under bettors who can capitalize on the market inefficiency.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 60% under hit rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, though the sample size demands caution. Target this prop when Schröder faces teams that limit transition opportunities or when Detroit's pace projects slower. The main risk is regression to his career assist averages, but his current role suggests the trend has structural support.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 6.5 | 3.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 6.5 | 3.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Dennis Schröder props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dennis Schröder's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Schröder has gone 4-6 over/under on his assist props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. This translates to a 60% under success rate with a profitable 14.6% ROI for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dennis Schröder Assists last 10 games?
Bet under on Schröder's assists. The 60% under hit rate and positive ROI create clear value, especially with his 5.6 average sitting a half-point below typical lines around 6.1 assists per game.
What's Dennis Schröder's average Assists last 10 games?
Schröder is averaging 5.6 assists over his last 10 games, which sits 0.5 assists below the typical 6.1 line. This consistent shortfall has created profitable opportunities for under bettors throughout this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schröder assist unders against slower-paced opponents or teams with strong perimeter defense that limit his playmaking. Avoid when Detroit faces up-tempo teams or when he's coming off multiple low-assist games due to potential regression.